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MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.
$130.66$2.3B
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MCRI logo

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 9 analysts

20.0% Above Target

MCRI trades 20.0% above Wall Street's consensus target of $104.50.

Current Price$130.66
Average Target$104.50
Target
Current
Low$97.00
Median$104.50
High$112.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E19.8x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio0.58
(Undervalued)
Implied Growth+22.2%
(Moderate)
Analyst Spread14.4%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$130.66
Consensus$104.50
High$112.00
Low$97.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes MCRI achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 19.8x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 9 published analyst recommendations for MCRI

67% hold / mixed conviction
+17
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 9 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage9 Analysts
Net Score+17
Bull / Bear33% / 0%
Strong Buy00%
Buy333%
Hold667%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
333%
Hold
667%
Sell
00%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix33% Buy · 67% Hold · 0% Sell
Buy (3)Hold (6)Sell (0)

MCRI Price Target Analysis

Updated June 22, 2026

As of June 22, 2026, Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $104.50, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $130.66, this represents a potential downside of -20.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.34B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $97.00 to a high of $112.00, representing a 14% spread in expectations. The median target of $104.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, MCRI trades at a trailing P/E of 24.1x and forward P/E of 19.8x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.58 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +22.2% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $152.69, with bear and bull scenarios of $96.19 and $201.19 respectively. Model confidence stands at 46/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+29.5%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
31.2x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
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CNTYCentury Casinos, Inc.
$40M$1.41—————
ACEL logo
ACELAccel Entertainment, Inc.
$1.1B$12.96$17.00
+31.2%
Buy18.2x6
RRR logo
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.
$3.6B$61.33$70.78
+15.4%
Buy21.2x30
BYD logo
BYDBoyd Gaming Corporation
$6.4B$84.68$95.00
+12.2%
Buy11.9x38
PENN logo
PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.
$2.8B$21.30$20.57
-3.4%
Buy28.3x47
CHDN logo
CHDNChurchill Downs Incorporated
$6.2B$88.27$145.00
+64.3%
Buy12.7x23
MTN logo
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.
$5.2B$144.78$158.13
+9.2%
Buy33.0x48
LNW logo
LNWLight & Wonder, Inc.
$8.1B$97.97$205.00
+109.2%
Hold15.9x13
DKNG logo
DKNGDraftKings Inc.
$13.1B$26.39$35.75
+35.5%
Buy111.8x48
MGM logo
MGMMGM Resorts International
$12.0B$46.84$43.22
-7.7%
Buy27.5x37

MCRI — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MCRI stock.

What is the MCRI stock price target for 2026?

MCRI's consensus price target is $104.5, -20.0% below the current price of $130.66. The 9 analysts tracking MCRI see downside risk at present valuations.

Is MCRI a buy, sell, or hold?

MCRI has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 6 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $104.5 implies -20.0% downside from current levels.

Is MCRI stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 19.7634x, MCRI trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $104.5 implies -20.0% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can MCRI stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $112 for MCRI, while the most conservative target is $97. The consensus of $104.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $201 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover MCRI stock?

MCRI is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the MCRI stock forecast?

The 12-month MCRI stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $104.5, with estimates ranging from $97 (bear case) to $112 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $153, with bear/bull scenarios of $96/$201.

What is MCRI's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates MCRI's fair value at $153 (base case), with a bear case of $96 and bull case of $201. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 46/100.

What is MCRI's forward P/E ratio?

MCRI trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 24.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy MCRI stock?

Analysts are cautious on MCRI, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $104.5 (-20.0% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do MCRI price targets vary so much?

MCRI analyst price targets range from $97 to $112, a 14% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $104.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $96-$201 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Intrinsic Valuation

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Historical Returns

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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