ACEL trades 29.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $14.33.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes ACEL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 16.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Accel Entertainment, Inc. (ACEL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $14.33, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $11.08, this represents a potential upside of +29.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $902M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $14.00 to a high of $15.00, representing a 7% spread in expectations. The median target of $14.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, ACEL trades at a trailing P/E of 18.5x and forward P/E of 16.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +1.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $16.04, with bear and bull scenarios of $10.11 and $21.14 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LNWLight & Wonder, Inc. | $8.1B | $97.97 | $128.11 | +30.8% | Hold | 15.9x | 13 |
 NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | $6.5B | $14.18 | $21.23 | +49.7% | Buy | 9.2x | 37 |
 VICIVICI Properties Inc. | $26.1B | $23.71 | $29.11 | +22.7% | Buy | 8.6x | 26 |
 GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. | $11.1B | $39.25 | $48.56 | +23.7% | Buy | 12.2x | 27 |
 PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc. | $2.1B | $15.56 | $24.60 | +58.1% | Buy | 18.2x | 47 |
 BYDBoyd Gaming Corporation | $5.2B | $71.74 | $91.63 | +27.7% | Buy | 9.9x | 38 |
 CHDNChurchill Downs Incorporated | $5.6B | $80.46 | $132.00 | +64.1% | Buy | 11.6x | 23 |
 DKNGDraftKings Inc. | $10.5B | $21.25 | $33.56 | +57.9% | Buy | 181.2x | 48 |
 RSIRush Street Interactive, Inc. | $2.4B | $20.56 | $35.00 | +70.2% | Buy | 33.2x | 13 |
 GENIGenius Sports Limited | $1.6B | $6.12 | $9.85 | +60.9% | Buy | — | 19 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ACEL stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for ACEL is $14.33, representing 29.3% upside from the current price of $11.08. With 6 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
ACEL has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 4 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $14.33 implies 29.3% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 16.0487x, ACEL trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $14.33 implies 29.3% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $15 for ACEL, while the most conservative target is $14. The consensus of $14.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $21 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
ACEL is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month ACEL stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $14.33, with estimates ranging from $14 (bear case) to $15 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $16, with bear/bull scenarios of $10/$21.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates ACEL's fair value at $16 (base case), with a bear case of $10 and bull case of $21. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.
ACEL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 18.5x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on ACEL, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $14.33 price target (29.3% upside). 4 of 6 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ACEL analyst price targets range from $14 to $15, a 7% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $14.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $10-$21 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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