Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 48 analysts9.2% Below Target
MTN trades 9.2% below Wall Street's consensus target of $158.13.
Current Price$144.78
Average Target$158.13
Target
Current
Low$119.00
Median$160.50
High$195.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E33.0x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio1.30
(Fair)
Implied Growth-11.6%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread48.1%
(Moderate)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes MTN achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 33.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 48 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
MTN Price Target Analysis
Updated June 22, 2026As of June 22, 2026, Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $158.13, based on estimates from 48 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $144.78, this represents a potential upside of +9.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.16B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $119.00 to a high of $195.00, representing a 48% spread in expectations. The median target of $160.50 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 24 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,20 rating it Hold, and 4 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MTN trades at a trailing P/E of 19.2x and forward P/E of 33.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.30 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -11.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $127.76, with bear and bull scenarios of $80.49 and $168.34 respectively. Model confidence stands at 38/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+9.8%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
36.8x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SNOWSnowflake Inc. | $80.5B | $232.29 | $282.29 | +21.5% | Buy | 120.5x | 52 |
 CNKCinemark Holdings, Inc. | $3.9B | $33.76 | $32.20 | -4.6% | Buy | 15.8x | 31 |
 EPREPR Properties | $4.4B | $57.51 | $61.38 | +6.7% | Hold | 19.0x | 22 |
 FUNSix Flags Entertainment Corporation | $2.5B | $24.94 | $24.00 | -3.8% | Buy | — | 29 |
 PRKSUnited Parks & Resorts Inc. | $2.2B | $46.64 | $48.25 | +3.5% | Buy | 13.3x | 23 |
 PLNTPlanet Fitness, Inc. | $4.2B | $52.98 | $77.88 | +47.0% | Buy | 16.6x | 29 |
 MARMarriott International, Inc. | $104.5B | $396.20 | $393.07 | -0.8% | Hold | 34.2x | 52 |
 HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | $79.4B | $348.84 | $342.30 | -1.9% | Buy | 38.6x | 49 |
 HHyatt Hotels Corporation | $19.3B | $202.09 | $194.92 | -3.5% | Hold | 57.2x | 49 |
 BKNGBooking Holdings Inc. | $133.1B | $171.78 | $230.70 | +34.3% | Buy | 16.4x | 71 |
MTN — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MTN stock.
What is the MTN stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for MTN is $158.13, close to the current price of $144.78 (9.2% implied move). Based on 48 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is MTN a buy, sell, or hold?
MTN has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 48 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 20 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $158.13 implies 9.2% upside from current levels.
Is MTN stock overvalued or undervalued?
MTN trades at a forward P/E of 33.0224x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $158.13 (9.2% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
How high can MTN stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $195 for MTN, while the most conservative target is $119. The consensus of $158.13 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $168 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover MTN stock?
MTN is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 48 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 24 have Buy ratings, 20 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the MTN stock forecast?
The 12-month MTN stock forecast based on 48 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $158.13, with estimates ranging from $119 (bear case) to $195 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $128, with bear/bull scenarios of $80/$168.
What is MTN's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MTN's fair value at $128 (base case), with a bear case of $80 and bull case of $168. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 38/100.
What is MTN's forward P/E ratio?
MTN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 33.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 19.2x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy MTN stock?
MTN appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $158.13 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do MTN price targets vary so much?
MTN analyst price targets range from $119 to $195, a 48% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $158.13 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $80-$168 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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