Revenue volatility remains elevated with a 14.4% growth rate in 2026Q1, yet structural margin compression is evident as gross margins plummeted from 17.8% in 2023Q4 to 7.9% in 2026Q1.
| Metric | TTM | Dec'25 | Dec'24 | Dec'23 | Dec'22 | Dec'21 | Dec'20 | Dec'19 | Dec'18 | Dec'17 | Dec'16 | Dec'15 | Dec'14 | Dec'13 | May'13 | May'12 | May'11 | May'10 | May'09 | May'08 | May'07 | May'06 | May'05 | Dec'03 | Dec'02 | Dec'01 | Dec'00 | Dec'99 | Dec'98 | Dec'97 | Jun'97 |
|---|
| Sales/Revenue | 12.06B | 12.05B | 11.12B | 13.7B | 19.13B | 12.36B | 8.68B | 8.91B | 9.59B | 7.41B | 7.16B | 8.9B | 9.06B | 8.17B | 9.97B | 11.11B | 9.94B | 6.76B | 10.3B | 9.81B | 5.77B | 5.31B | 4.4B | 2.19B | 2.06B | 1.96B | 2.1B | 2.37B | 2.7B | 2.99B | 2.98B |
| Revenue Growth % | 8.99% | 8.36% | -18.79% | -28.39% | 54.77% | 42.34% | -2.52% | -7.1% | 29.39% | 3.44% | -19.48% | -1.77% | 10.84% | -18.09% | -10.21% | 11.77% | 47.03% | -34.36% | 4.95% | 69.95% | 8.82% | 20.68% | 100.71% | 6.47% | 5.04% | -6.55% | -11.54% | -12.12% | -9.78% | 0.22% | 0.03% |
| Cost of Goods Sold | 10.38B | 10.24B | 9.61B | 11.49B | 13.37B | 9.16B | 7.62B | 8.01B | 8.09B | 6.57B | 6.35B | 7.18B | 7.13B | 6.75B | 7.21B | 8.02B | 6.82B | 5.07B | 7.53B | 6.65B | 4.85B | 4.67B | 3.87B | 2.01B | 1.79B | 1.77B | 1.59B | 1.59B | 1.71B | 2.07B | 2.03B |
| COGS % of Revenue | - | 84.92% | 86.41% | 83.86% | 69.9% | 74.1% | 87.73% | 89.93% | 84.37% | 88.63% | 88.69% | 80.69% | 78.73% | 82.62% | 72.33% | 72.23% | 68.59% | 74.95% | 73.13% | 67.79% | 83.96% | 87.99% | 88.05% | 91.73% | 87.22% | 90.36% | 75.97% | 67.28% | 63.28% | 69.16% | 67.99% |
| Gross Profit | 1.68B | 1.82B | 1.51B | 2.21B | 5.76B | 3.2B | 1.06B | 897.3M | 1.5B | 842.8M | 810M | 1.72B | 1.93B | 1.42B | 2.76B | 3.08B | 3.12B | 1.69B | 2.77B | 3.16B | 926.1M | 637.4M | 525.5M | 181.2M | 263M | 188.9M | 503.7M | 775.2M | 990.1M | 921.8M | 954.4M |
| Gross Margin % | 13.89% | 15.07% | 13.59% | 16.14% | 30.1% | 25.9% | 12.27% | 10.07% | 15.63% | 11.37% | 11.31% | 19.31% | 21.27% | 17.38% | 27.67% | 27.77% | 31.41% | 25.05% | 26.87% | 32.21% | 16.04% | 12.01% | 11.95% | 8.27% | 12.78% | 9.64% | 24.03% | 32.72% | 36.72% | 30.84% | 32.01% |
| Gross Profit Growth % | - | 20.17% | -31.61% | -61.59% | 79.85% | 200.53% | 18.68% | -40.12% | 77.79% | 4.05% | -52.85% | -10.83% | 35.68% | -48.56% | -10.53% | -1.18% | 84.36% | -38.8% | -12.46% | 241.27% | 45.29% | 21.29% | 190.01% | -31.1% | 39.23% | -62.5% | -35.02% | -21.7% | 7.41% | -3.42% | 3.8% |
| Operating Expenses | 1.23B | 767.2M | 890.4M | 872.5M | 970.5M | 731.8M | 652M | 1.99B | 570.1M | 377.1M | 491M | 439.1M | 614.8M | 548.4M | 550.6M | 473.9M | 457.6M | 422.5M | 365.8M | 353.8M | 309.8M | 531.6M | 207M | 54.8M | 80.7M | 92.8M | 101.5M | 360.3M | 374.7M | 315M | 431.6M |
| OpEx % of Revenue | - | 6.37% | 8.01% | 6.37% | 5.07% | 5.92% | 7.51% | 22.37% | 5.95% | 5.09% | 6.85% | 4.94% | 6.79% | 6.71% | 5.52% | 4.27% | 4.6% | 6.25% | 3.55% | 3.61% | 5.37% | 10.02% | 4.71% | 2.5% | 3.92% | 4.74% | 4.84% | 15.21% | 13.9% | 10.54% | 14.47% |
| Selling, General & Admin | 534.2M | 520.9M | 496.9M | 500.5M | 498M | 430.5M | 371.5M | 354.1M | 341.1M | 301.3M | 304.2M | 361.2M | 382.4M | 363.09M | 427.3M | 410.1M | 372.5M | 360.3M | 321.4M | 335.5M | 309.8M | 241.3M | 207M | 79.6M | 80.7M | 81.8M | 102.7M | 164.5M | 190.4M | 435.6M | 247.2M |
| SG&A % of Revenue | - | 4.32% | 4.47% | 3.65% | 2.6% | 3.48% | 4.28% | 3.98% | 3.56% | 4.07% | 4.25% | 4.06% | 4.22% | 4.44% | 4.28% | 3.69% | 3.75% | 5.33% | 3.12% | 3.42% | 5.37% | 4.55% | 4.71% | 3.63% | 3.92% | 4.18% | 4.9% | 6.94% | 7.06% | 14.58% | 8.29% |
| Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R&D % of Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Other Operating Expenses | 4M | 249.1M | 393.5M | 372M | 472.5M | 301.3M | 280.5M | 1.64B | 229M | 75.8M | 186.8M | 77.9M | 232.4M | 0 | 123.3M | 63.8M | 85.1M | 62.2M | 44.4M | 30M | 0 | 290.3M | 0 | -24.8M | 0 | 11M | -1.2M | 232.5M | 251.7M | 183.2M | 184.4M |
| Operating Income | 446.9M | 1.05B | 621.5M | 1.34B | 4.79B | 2.47B | 412.9M | -1.09B | 928.3M | 465.7M | 319M | 1.28B | 1.31B | 961.2M | 2.21B | 2.61B | 2.66B | 1.27B | 2.4B | 2.81B | 616.3M | 105.8M | 318.5M | 126.4M | 182.3M | 96.1M | 227.2M | 311.6M | 512M | 443.1M | 522.8M |
| Operating Margin % | 3.71% | 8.71% | 5.59% | 9.77% | 25.02% | 19.98% | 4.76% | -12.29% | 9.68% | 6.29% | 4.45% | 14.38% | 14.49% | 11.76% | 22.15% | 23.51% | 26.81% | 18.8% | 23.31% | 28.6% | 10.67% | 1.99% | 7.24% | 5.77% | 8.86% | 4.91% | 10.84% | 13.15% | 18.99% | 14.83% | 17.53% |
| Operating Income Growth % | - | 68.9% | -53.55% | -72.04% | 93.85% | 497.84% | 137.71% | -217.95% | 99.33% | 45.99% | -75.05% | -2.52% | 36.48% | -56.5% | -15.38% | -1.99% | 109.65% | -47.07% | -14.46% | 355.41% | 482.51% | -66.78% | 151.98% | -30.66% | 89.7% | -57.7% | -27.09% | -39.14% | 15.55% | -15.24% | -0.89% |
| EBITDA | 1.21B | 2.23B | 1.65B | 2.3B | 5.72B | 3.28B | 1.26B | -212.2M | 1.81B | 1.13B | 1.03B | 2.02B | 2.06B | 1.66B | 2.81B | 3.12B | 3.11B | 1.72B | 2.76B | 3.16B | 929.6M | 376M | 499.2M | 298.3M | 347.6M | 253.3M | 398.8M | 544.1M | 763.7M | 626.3M | 707.2M |
| EBITDA Margin % | 10% | 18.5% | 14.81% | 16.78% | 29.9% | 26.55% | 14.52% | -2.38% | 18.9% | 15.27% | 14.38% | 22.69% | 22.78% | 20.32% | 28.22% | 28.08% | 31.31% | 25.39% | 26.81% | 32.22% | 16.1% | 7.09% | 11.35% | 13.62% | 16.9% | 12.93% | 19.03% | 22.96% | 28.33% | 20.96% | 23.72% |
| EBITDA Growth % | -33.56% | 35.38% | -28.35% | -59.81% | 74.29% | 160.33% | 694.02% | -111.71% | 60.2% | 9.8% | -48.96% | -2.14% | 24.24% | -41.01% | -9.77% | 0.24% | 81.35% | -37.86% | -12.67% | 240.15% | 147.23% | -24.68% | 67.35% | -14.18% | 37.23% | -36.48% | -26.7% | -28.75% | 21.94% | -11.44% | 1.59% |
| D&A (Non-Cash Add-back) | 758.7M | 1.18B | 1.03B | 960.6M | 933.9M | 812.9M | 847.6M | 882.7M | 883.9M | 665.5M | 711.2M | 739.8M | 750.9M | 699.09M | 604.8M | 508.1M | 447.4M | 445M | 360.5M | 355.3M | 313.3M | 270.2M | 180.7M | 171.9M | 165.3M | 157.2M | 171.6M | 232.5M | 251.7M | 183.2M | 184.4M |
| EBIT | 1.18B | 1.43B | 545.4M | 1.51B | 4.81B | 2.42B | 395M | -1.04B | 767.3M | 545.3M | 383M | 1.24B | 1.35B | 869.15M | 2.21B | 2.63B | 3.3B | 1.26B | 3B | 2.81B | 614.2M | 393.4M | 318.5M | 132.9M | 182.3M | 107.1M | 227.2M | 311.6M | 512M | 443.1M | 522.8M |
| Net Interest Income | -194M | -179.4M | -182.8M | -129.4M | -137.8M | -169.1M | -180.6M | -182.9M | -166.1M | -138.1M | -112.4M | -97.8M | -107.6M | 0 | 18.8M | 18.7M | -5.1M | -49.6M | -43.3M | -90.5M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Interest Income | 26.8M | 38.3M | 47.2M | 59.6M | 31M | 25.2M | 33.5M | 33.1M | 49.7M | 33.2M | 28.2M | 35.8M | 21.3M | 22.8M | 18.8M | 20.1M | 22.5M | 16.1M | 46.9M | 33.5M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Interest Expense | 220.8M | 217.7M | 230M | 189M | 168.8M | 194.3M | 214.1M | 216M | 215.8M | 171.3M | 140.6M | 133.6M | 128.9M | 0 | 0 | 1.4M | 27.6M | 65.7M | 90.2M | 124M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Other Income/Expense | 655.4M | 165.5M | -232.8M | 48.1M | 53.2M | -235.9M | -325.8M | -220.6M | -381.3M | -75M | -92M | -177.9M | -96.7M | -131.14M | 23.2M | 31.1M | 602.1M | -92M | 604.9M | -300K | -73.2M | -221.9M | -52.6M | -200.5M | -166.3M | -148.5M | -96.1M | -702.4M | -282.3M | -342.9M | -200.8M |
| Pretax Income | 1.1B | 1.22B | 388.7M | 1.39B | 4.84B | 2.23B | 87.1M | -1.32B | 547M | 390.7M | 227M | 1.1B | 1.22B | 830.06M | 2.23B | 2.64B | 3.27B | 1.18B | 3.01B | 2.81B | 543.1M | -116.1M | 265.9M | -74.1M | 16M | -52.4M | 131.1M | -390.8M | 229.7M | 100.2M | 322M |
| Pretax Margin % | 9.14% | 10.08% | 3.49% | 10.12% | 25.3% | 18.07% | 1% | -14.77% | 5.71% | 5.27% | 3.17% | 12.38% | 13.42% | 10.16% | 22.39% | 23.79% | 32.87% | 17.44% | 29.19% | 28.6% | 9.41% | -2.19% | 6.05% | -3.38% | 0.78% | -2.68% | 6.26% | -16.49% | 8.52% | 3.35% | 10.8% |
| Income Tax | 351.6M | 639.8M | 186.7M | 177M | 1.22B | 597.7M | -578.5M | -224.7M | 77.1M | 494.9M | -74.2M | 99.1M | 184.7M | 261.6M | 341M | 711.4M | 752.8M | 347.3M | 649.3M | 714.9M | 123.4M | 5.3M | 98.3M | -36.5M | 29.8M | -10.4M | 46.8M | 141.3M | 99.9M | 30.4M | 117.5M |
| Effective Tax Rate % | 31.9% | 52.65% | 48.03% | 12.77% | 25.3% | 26.77% | -664.18% | 17.08% | 14.1% | 126.67% | -32.69% | 9% | 15.2% | 31.52% | 15.27% | 26.92% | 23.05% | 29.46% | 21.6% | 25.47% | 22.72% | -4.57% | 36.97% | 49.26% | 186.25% | 19.85% | 35.7% | -36.16% | 43.49% | 30.34% | 36.49% |
| Net Income | 726.7M | 540.7M | 174.9M | 1.16B | 3.58B | 1.63B | 666.1M | -1.07B | 470M | -107.2M | 297.8M | 1B | 1.03B | 576M | 1.89B | 1.93B | 2.51B | 827.1M | 2.35B | 2.08B | 419.7M | -121.4M | 165.6M | -135.4M | -110.8M | -80.6M | -345M | -773.3M | -9M | 62.9M | 193.1M |
| Net Margin % | 6.03% | 4.49% | 1.57% | 8.51% | 18.73% | 13.2% | 7.67% | -11.98% | 4.9% | -1.45% | 4.16% | 11.25% | 11.36% | 7.05% | 18.94% | 17.38% | 25.3% | 12.24% | 22.82% | 21.23% | 7.27% | -2.29% | 3.77% | -6.18% | -5.39% | -4.12% | -16.46% | -32.64% | -0.33% | 2.1% | 6.48% |
| Net Income Growth % | 97.58% | 209.15% | -84.99% | -67.49% | 119.72% | 144.8% | 162.4% | -327.11% | 538.43% | -136% | -70.23% | -2.74% | 78.58% | -69.5% | -2.15% | -23.24% | 204.03% | -64.81% | 12.84% | 396.26% | 445.72% | -173.31% | 222.3% | -22.2% | -37.47% | 76.64% | 55.39% | -8492.22% | -114.31% | -67.43% | 33.82% |
| Net Income (Continuing) | 750.7M | 575.4M | 202M | 1.21B | 3.61B | 1.63B | 665.6M | -1.09B | 469.9M | -104.2M | 301.2M | 1B | 1.03B | 568.46M | 1.89B | 1.93B | 2.51B | 831.5M | 2.36B | 2.09B | 419.7M | -121.4M | 167.6M | -37.6M | -13.8M | -42M | 84.3M | -532.1M | 129.8M | 69.8M | 204.5M |
| Discontinued Operations | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.86M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -92.9M | -96.4M | 0 | -429.3M | -234.2M | -141.8M | 18M | 0 |
| Minority Interest | 153.8M | 149.3M | 132.3M | 142.6M | 139.6M | 144.4M | 173.8M | 182.1M | 207.4M | 21.6M | 37.9M | 33.2M | 17.5M | 18.3M | 17.5M | 16.3M | 20.3M | 26.2M | 22.2M | 23.4M | 22.3M | 20.4M | 21.8M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 437.3M |
| EPS (Diluted) | 2.29 | 1.70 | 0.55 | 3.50 | 10.06 | 4.27 | 1.75 | -2.69 | 1.22 | -0.31 | 0.85 | 2.78 | 2.68 | 1.36 | 4.42 | 4.42 | 5.62 | 1.85 | 5.27 | 4.67 | 0.95 | -0.32 | 0.46 | -1.18 | -0.96 | -0.58 | -3.01 | -6.75 | -0.08 | 0.67 | 2.03 |
| EPS Growth % | 100% | 209.09% | -84.29% | -65.21% | 135.6% | 144% | 165.06% | -320.49% | 493.55% | -136.47% | -69.42% | 3.73% | 97.06% | -69.23% | 0% | -21.35% | 203.78% | -64.9% | 12.85% | 391.58% | 396.88% | -169.57% | 138.98% | -22.92% | -65.52% | 80.73% | 55.41% | -8337.5% | -111.94% | -67% | 30.13% |
| EPS (Basic) | - | 1.70 | 0.55 | 3.52 | 10.17 | 4.31 | 1.76 | -2.69 | 1.22 | -0.31 | 0.85 | 2.79 | 2.69 | 1.37 | 4.44 | 4.54 | 5.64 | 1.86 | 5.29 | 4.70 | 0.97 | -0.32 | 0.51 | -1.18 | -0.96 | -0.58 | -3.02 | -6.75 | -0.08 | 0.67 | 2.03 |
| Diluted Shares Outstanding | 317.5M | 318.9M | 320.7M | 333.2M | 356M | 381.6M | 381.3M | 383.8M | 386.4M | 350.9M | 351.7M | 360.3M | 375.6M | 422M | 426.9M | 436.5M | 447.5M | 446.6M | 446.2M | 445.7M | 440.3M | 382.2M | 360.4M | 114.8M | 114.6M | 114.5M | 114.8M | 114.56M | 112.5M | 93.88M | 95.12M |
| Basic Shares Outstanding | 317.5M | 317.3M | 319.8M | 331.3M | 352.4M | 378.1M | 379M | 383.8M | 384.8M | 345.81M | 350.4M | 358.5M | 374.1M | 420.8M | 425.82M | 425.47M | 446M | 445.1M | 444.2M | 442.7M | 434.3M | 382.2M | 327.8M | 114.8M | 114.6M | 114.5M | 114.4M | 114.56M | 112.5M | 93.88M | 95.12M |
| Dividend Payout Ratio | - | 51.86% | 154.77% | 30.18% | 5.52% | 6.36% | 11.38% | - | 8.19% | - | 129.31% | 38.45% | 37.19% | 63.54% | 22.59% | 6.19% | 3.55% | 80.76% | 3.78% | - | 0.62% | - | 6.88% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 47.22% | 15.59% |
Commodity price volatility exposure
According to the provided quarterly income statements, Mosaic's revenue growth has exhibited significant volatility, swinging from a 29.7% decline in 2023Q4 to a 14.4% increase by 2026Q1, reflecting the inherent sensitivity of the company's top line to global agricultural commodity price cycles and seasonal demand shifts.
The erratic revenue trajectory suggests that Mosaic remains highly susceptible to external pricing pressures rather than internal volume growth. Investors should monitor whether the recent 14.4% growth in 2026Q1 represents a sustainable recovery or merely a temporary rebound from a low base in the prior year.
As reported in financial statements, Mosaic's gross margin has faced persistent downward pressure, contracting from 17.8% in 2023Q4 to a low of 7.9% in 2026Q1, which highlights the company's struggle to maintain pricing power against rising input costs and softening finished product prices.
The significant margin erosion appears to indicate that the company is caught in a squeeze between elevated raw material costs and declining market prices for phosphate and potash. This trend warrants further investigation into whether the company's high-grade phosphate reserves can still provide a meaningful cost advantage in the current environment.
Based on the reported figures, Mosaic's operating leverage has turned negative, with operating income falling to a loss of $372.9 million in 2026Q1, demonstrating that the company's fixed cost structure is currently failing to scale effectively during periods of revenue volatility and margin contraction.
The inability to maintain positive operating income despite revenue fluctuations suggests that SG&A and production costs are not sufficiently flexible to protect the bottom line. This lack of operational efficiency may indicate that the company's cost base is too rigid for the cyclical nature of the agricultural inputs industry.
Data from recent filings indicates that Mosaic's net income has been highly inconsistent, with a net loss of $257.6 million in 2026Q1 following periods of profitability, suggesting that non-operating items and inventory adjustments may be significantly distorting the quality of reported earnings per share.
The wide swings in net income, including the negative $0.81 EPS in 2026Q1, suggest that investors should be cautious of relying on headline earnings figures. The impact of stock-based compensation and potential inventory write-downs appears to be masking the underlying operational performance of the core business segments.
While management emphasizes the value of long-life phosphate assets, the recent income statement data suggests that the company's profitability is increasingly vulnerable to structural cost increases, as evidenced by the sharp decline in operating margins from 12.9% in 2025Q1 to negative 12.4% in 2026Q1.
Short-sellers may focus on the potential for permanent margin compression as high-grade phosphate rock reserves are depleted, necessitating more expensive extraction methods. The current financial performance appears to challenge the narrative that Mosaic's vertical integration provides a sufficient buffer against global commodity price downturns.
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MOS stock.
For fiscal year 2025, The Mosaic Company (MOS) reported total revenue of $12.05B. This represents a 304.2% increase compared to $2.98B in 1996.
The Mosaic Company (MOS) is profitable, generating $540.7M in net income for the fiscal year ending 2025 with a net profit margin of 4.5%.
The Mosaic Company (MOS) reported an operating income of $1.05B, resulting in an operating profit margin of 8.7%. This margin reflects the operational efficiency of the business before interest and taxes.
The Mosaic Company (MOS) generated $1.82B in gross profit for the year, representing a gross profit margin of 15.1%. This demonstrates the company's core pricing power and production efficiency.