40.2% Above Target

NAT's consensus price target is $3.5, -40.2% below the current price of $5.85. The 19 analysts tracking NAT see downside risk at present valuations.

NAT has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 19 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 11 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $3.5 implies -40.2% downside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 8.2105x, NAT trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $3.5 implies -40.2% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $4 for NAT, while the most conservative target is $3. The consensus of $3.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $13 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

NAT is well covered by analysts, with 19 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 11 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month NAT stock forecast based on 19 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $3.5, with estimates ranging from $3 (bear case) to $4 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $10, with bear/bull scenarios of $6/$13.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates NAT's fair value at $10 (base case), with a bear case of $6 and bull case of $13. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 34/100.

NAT trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 100.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on NAT, with 3 Sell ratings and a price target of $3.5 (-40.2% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

NAT analyst price targets range from $3 to $4, a 29% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $3.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $6-$13 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.