NATL trades 15.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $50.40.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes NATL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 10.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 22, 2026, NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $50.40, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $43.63, this represents a potential upside of +15.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $3.22B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $50.40 to a high of $50.40, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $50.40 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 0 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, NATL trades at a trailing P/E of 20.4x and forward P/E of 10.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +80.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $50.20, with bear and bull scenarios of $31.62 and $66.14 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NTCTNetScout Systems, Inc. | $2.8B | $39.67 | $38.00 | -4.2% | Hold | 16.4x | 21 |
CASSCass Information Systems, Inc. | $639M | $49.52 | $51.00 | +3.0% | Buy | 16.6x | 2 |
JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc. | $9.1B | $126.23 | $193.75 | +53.5% | Buy | 18.4x | 22 |
FISVFiserv, Inc. | $25.6B | $47.86 | $71.15 | +48.7% | Buy | 5.9x | 60 |
DBDDiebold Nixdorf, Incorporated | $2.9B | $83.81 | $100.00 | +19.3% | Buy | 15.3x | 13 |
PAXPatria Investments Limited | $1.8B | $11.37 | $18.00 | +58.3% | Buy | 8.3x | 5 |
FOURShift4 Payments, Inc. | $2.7B | $39.42 | $67.62 | +71.5% | Buy | 6.2x | 29 |
PAYPaymentus Holdings, Inc. | $2.6B | $21.07 | $34.50 | +63.7% | Hold | 25.5x | 10 |
VVisa Inc. | $627.8B | $327.24 | $368.91 | +12.7% | Buy | 24.9x | 61 |
MAMastercard Incorporated | $433.6B | $489.79 | $660.43 | +34.8% | Buy | 24.9x | 64 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying NATL stock.
NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) has a consensus 12-month price target of $50.4, implying 15.5% upside from $43.63. The 4 analysts covering NATL see moderate appreciation potential.
NATL has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $50.4 implies 15.5% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 10.4005x, NATL trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $50.4 implies 15.5% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $50.4 for NATL, while the most conservative target is $50.4. The consensus of $50.4 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $66 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
NATL is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 0 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month NATL stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $50.4, with estimates ranging from $50.4 (bear case) to $50.4 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $50, with bear/bull scenarios of $32/$66.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates NATL's fair value at $50 (base case), with a bear case of $32 and bull case of $66. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.
NATL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 20.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on NATL, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $50.4 price target (15.5% upside). 0 of 4 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NATL analyst price targets range from $50.4 to $50.4, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $50.4 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $32-$66 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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