NATL trades 7.2% above Wall Street's consensus target of $42.47.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes NATL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $42.47, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $45.77, this represents a potential downside of -7.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $3.38B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $29.00 to a high of $50.40, representing a 50% spread in expectations. The median target of $48.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 0 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, NATL trades at a trailing P/E of 21.4x and forward P/E of 9.5x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +85.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $50.20, with bear and bull scenarios of $31.62 and $66.14 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NTCTNetScout Systems, Inc. | $2.9B | $39.28 | $43.00 | +9.5% | Hold | 16.3x | 21 |
 CASSCass Information Systems, Inc. | $695M | $54.03 | $58.50 | +8.3% | Buy | 18.1x | 2 |
 JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc. | $10.5B | $148.33 | $187.91 | +26.7% | Buy | 21.7x | 24 |
 FISVFiserv, Inc. | $24.5B | $45.95 | $62.46 | +35.9% | Buy | 6.3x | 61 |
 DBDDiebold Nixdorf, Incorporated | $2.1B | $63.04 | $100.00 | +58.6% | Buy | 11.7x | 13 |
 PAXPatria Investments Ltd | $1.6B | $10.24 | $14.00 | +36.7% | Buy | 7.5x | 5 |
 FOURShift4 Payments, Inc. | $2.7B | $38.46 | $52.47 | +36.4% | Buy | 6.0x | 29 |
 PAYPaymentus Holdings, Inc. | $3.8B | $29.95 | $40.00 | +33.6% | Hold | 32.7x | 11 |
 VVisa Inc. | $675.0B | $361.52 | $422.24 | +16.8% | Buy | 27.3x | 62 |
 MAMastercard Incorporated | $494.7B | $559.92 | $666.67 | +19.1% | Buy | 28.1x | 65 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying NATL stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for NATL is $42.47, -7.2% from its current price of $45.77. The below-market target from 4 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
NATL has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $42.47 implies -7.2% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 9.542x, NATL trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $42.47 implies -7.2% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $50.4 for NATL, while the most conservative target is $29. The consensus of $42.47 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $66 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
NATL is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 0 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month NATL stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $42.47, with estimates ranging from $29 (bear case) to $50.4 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $50, with bear/bull scenarios of $32/$66.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates NATL's fair value at $50 (base case), with a bear case of $32 and bull case of $66. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.
NATL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 21.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on NATL, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $42.47 (-7.2% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NATL analyst price targets range from $29 to $50.4, a 50% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $42.47 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $32-$66 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Live VCP patterns, Cup & Handle overlays, support/resistance, and AI trade plans.
High-probability breakout stocks crossing their pivot across 5 pattern engines.
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.