PAX trades 5.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $10.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes PAX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 7.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, Patria Investments Ltd (PAX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $10.00, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $9.50, this represents a potential upside of +5.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.52B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $10.00 to a high of $10.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $10.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, PAX trades at a trailing P/E of 21.7x and forward P/E of 7.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 2.54 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +203.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $12.58, with bear and bull scenarios of $7.93 and $16.58 respectively. Model confidence stands at 42/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BXBlackstone Inc. | $94.1B | $119.50 | $143.45 | +20.0% | Buy | 20.4x | 30 |
 KKRKKR & Co. Inc. | $86.6B | $96.48 | $120.56 | +25.0% | Buy | 11.7x | 27 |
 APOApollo Global Management, Inc. | $67.2B | $116.75 | $139.00 | +19.1% | Buy | 13.5x | 28 |
 CGThe Carlyle Group Inc. | $14.3B | $39.70 | $50.22 | +26.5% | Buy | 11.4x | 26 |
 EQTEQT Corporation | $30.9B | $49.40 | $66.75 | +35.1% | Buy | 13.2x | 46 |
 BAMBrookfield Asset Management Ltd. | $84.5B | $52.95 | $55.08 | +4.0% | Buy | 28.7x | 20 |
 ARESAres Management Corporation | $44.0B | $133.98 | $145.88 | +8.9% | Buy | 23.8x | 22 |
 BNBrookfield Corporation | $92.4B | $41.38 | $58.50 | +41.4% | Buy | 15.0x | 9 |
 TPGTPG Inc. | $17.8B | $46.50 | $57.13 | +22.9% | Buy | 16.7x | 18 |
 HLNEHamilton Lane Incorporated | $5.0B | $89.46 | $121.67 | +36.0% | Buy | 14.8x | 10 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying PAX stock.
The consensus price target for PAX is $10, close to the current price of $9.5 (5.3% implied move). Based on 5 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
PAX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 3 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $10 implies 5.3% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 7.1536x, PAX trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $10 implies 5.3% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $10 for PAX, while the most conservative target is $10. The consensus of $10 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $17 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
PAX is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month PAX stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $10 (bear case) to $10 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $13, with bear/bull scenarios of $8/$17.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates PAX's fair value at $13 (base case), with a bear case of $8 and bull case of $17. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 42/100.
PAX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 21.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
PAX appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $10 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
PAX analyst price targets range from $10 to $10, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $10 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $8-$17 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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