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$172.11$31.9B
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NTRS logo

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 35 analysts

10.7% Above Target

NTRS trades 10.7% above Wall Street's consensus target of $153.75.

Current Price$172.11
Average Target$153.75
Target
Current
Low$148.00
Median$153.50
High$160.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E15.9x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio1.61
(Fair)
Implied Growth+17.7%
(Moderate)
Analyst Spread7.8%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$172.11
Consensus$153.75
High$160.00
Low$148.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes NTRS achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 15.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 35 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 35 published analyst recommendations for NTRS

49% hold / mixed conviction
+11
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 35 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage35 Analysts
Net Score+11
Bull / Bear37% / 14%
Strong Buy00%
Buy1337%
Hold1749%
Sell514%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
1337%
Hold
1749%
Sell
514%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix37% Buy · 49% Hold · 14% Sell
Buy (13)Hold (17)Sell (5)

NTRS Price Target Analysis

Updated June 21, 2026

As of June 21, 2026, Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $153.75, based on estimates from 35 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $172.11, this represents a potential downside of -10.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $31.90B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $148.00 to a high of $160.00, representing a 8% spread in expectations. The median target of $153.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 13 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,17 rating it Hold, and 5 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, NTRS trades at a trailing P/E of 19.7x and forward P/E of 15.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.61 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +17.7% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $213.76, with bear and bull scenarios of $134.67 and $281.65 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+0.7%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
13.9x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
STT logo
STTState Street Corporation
$48.6B$168.31$161.50
-4.0%
Buy13.5x37
BK logo
BKThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation
$100.0B$141.91$139.86
-1.4%
Buy16.2x29
TROW logo
TROWT. Rowe Price Group, Inc.
$23.4B$107.65$102.60
-4.7%
Hold11.3x38
BEN logo
BENFranklin Resources, Inc.
$17.2B$33.05$32.00
-3.2%
Hold12.1x27
IVZ logo
IVZInvesco Ltd.
$12.5B$28.14$30.06
+6.8%
Hold10.9x28
GS logo
GSThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
$348.3B$1096.56$972.70
-11.3%
Hold18.5x55
MS logo
MSMorgan Stanley
$355.5B$223.17$201.25
-9.8%
Buy18.8x52
JPM logo
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.
$908.6B$325.22$339.75
+4.5%
Buy14.6x61
WFC logo
WFCWells Fargo & Company
$264.5B$82.21$99.38
+20.9%
Hold11.7x60
USB logo
USBU.S. Bancorp
$90.5B$58.14$63.82
+9.8%
Hold11.4x49

NTRS — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying NTRS stock.

What is the NTRS stock price target for 2026?

NTRS's consensus price target is $153.75, -10.7% below the current price of $172.11. The 35 analysts tracking NTRS see downside risk at present valuations.

Is NTRS a buy, sell, or hold?

NTRS has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 35 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 17 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $153.75 implies -10.7% downside from current levels.

Is NTRS stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 15.8788x, NTRS trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $153.75 implies -10.7% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can NTRS stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $160 for NTRS, while the most conservative target is $148. The consensus of $153.75 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $282 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover NTRS stock?

NTRS is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 35 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 13 have Buy ratings, 17 recommend Hold, and 5 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the NTRS stock forecast?

The 12-month NTRS stock forecast based on 35 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $153.75, with estimates ranging from $148 (bear case) to $160 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $214, with bear/bull scenarios of $135/$282.

What is NTRS's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates NTRS's fair value at $214 (base case), with a bear case of $135 and bull case of $282. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.

What is NTRS's forward P/E ratio?

NTRS trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 19.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy NTRS stock?

Analysts are cautious on NTRS, with 5 Sell ratings and a price target of $153.75 (-10.7% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do NTRS price targets vary so much?

NTRS analyst price targets range from $148 to $160, a 8% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $153.75 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $135-$282 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

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Peer Comparison

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