NTRS trades 10.7% above Wall Street's consensus target of $153.75.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes NTRS achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 15.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 35 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 21, 2026, Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $153.75, based on estimates from 35 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $172.11, this represents a potential downside of -10.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $31.90B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $148.00 to a high of $160.00, representing a 8% spread in expectations. The median target of $153.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 13 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,17 rating it Hold, and 5 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, NTRS trades at a trailing P/E of 19.7x and forward P/E of 15.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.61 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +17.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $213.76, with bear and bull scenarios of $134.67 and $281.65 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
STTState Street Corporation | $48.6B | $168.31 | $161.50 | -4.0% | Buy | 13.5x | 37 |
BKThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation | $100.0B | $141.91 | $139.86 | -1.4% | Buy | 16.2x | 29 |
TROWT. Rowe Price Group, Inc. | $23.4B | $107.65 | $102.60 | -4.7% | Hold | 11.3x | 38 |
BENFranklin Resources, Inc. | $17.2B | $33.05 | $32.00 | -3.2% | Hold | 12.1x | 27 |
IVZInvesco Ltd. | $12.5B | $28.14 | $30.06 | +6.8% | Hold | 10.9x | 28 |
GSThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | $348.3B | $1096.56 | $972.70 | -11.3% | Hold | 18.5x | 55 |
MSMorgan Stanley | $355.5B | $223.17 | $201.25 | -9.8% | Buy | 18.8x | 52 |
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co. | $908.6B | $325.22 | $339.75 | +4.5% | Buy | 14.6x | 61 |
WFCWells Fargo & Company | $264.5B | $82.21 | $99.38 | +20.9% | Hold | 11.7x | 60 |
USBU.S. Bancorp | $90.5B | $58.14 | $63.82 | +9.8% | Hold | 11.4x | 49 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying NTRS stock.
NTRS's consensus price target is $153.75, -10.7% below the current price of $172.11. The 35 analysts tracking NTRS see downside risk at present valuations.
NTRS has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 35 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 17 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $153.75 implies -10.7% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 15.8788x, NTRS trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $153.75 implies -10.7% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $160 for NTRS, while the most conservative target is $148. The consensus of $153.75 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $282 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
NTRS is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 35 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 13 have Buy ratings, 17 recommend Hold, and 5 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month NTRS stock forecast based on 35 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $153.75, with estimates ranging from $148 (bear case) to $160 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $214, with bear/bull scenarios of $135/$282.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates NTRS's fair value at $214 (base case), with a bear case of $135 and bull case of $282. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.
NTRS trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 19.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on NTRS, with 5 Sell ratings and a price target of $153.75 (-10.7% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NTRS analyst price targets range from $148 to $160, a 8% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $153.75 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $135-$282 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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