STT trades 4.0% above Wall Street's consensus target of $161.50.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes STT achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 13.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 37 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 21, 2026, State Street Corporation (STT) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $161.50, based on estimates from 37 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $168.31, this represents a potential downside of -4.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $48.64B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $144.00 to a high of $171.00, representing a 17% spread in expectations. The median target of $165.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 18 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,15 rating it Hold, and 4 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, STT trades at a trailing P/E of 17.9x and forward P/E of 13.5x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.64 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +22.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $232.85, with bear and bull scenarios of $146.70 and $306.80 respectively. Model confidence stands at 55/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BKThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation | $100.0B | $141.91 | $139.86 | -1.4% | Buy | 16.2x | 29 |
NTRSNorthern Trust Corporation | $31.9B | $172.11 | $153.75 | -10.7% | Hold | 15.9x | 35 |
BENFranklin Resources, Inc. | $17.2B | $33.05 | $32.00 | -3.2% | Hold | 12.1x | 27 |
IVZInvesco Ltd. | $12.5B | $28.14 | $30.06 | +6.8% | Hold | 10.9x | 28 |
GSThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | $348.3B | $1096.56 | $972.70 | -11.3% | Hold | 18.5x | 55 |
MSMorgan Stanley | $355.5B | $223.17 | $201.25 | -9.8% | Buy | 18.8x | 52 |
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co. | $908.6B | $325.22 | $339.75 | +4.5% | Buy | 14.6x | 61 |
CCitigroup Inc. | $266.5B | $143.09 | $140.75 | -1.6% | Buy | 13.2x | 27 |
BLKBlackRock, Inc. | $173.7B | $1050.09 | $1301.63 | +24.0% | Buy | 19.7x | 33 |
TROWT. Rowe Price Group, Inc. | $23.4B | $107.65 | $102.60 | -4.7% | Hold | 11.3x | 38 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying STT stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for STT is $161.5, -4.0% from its current price of $168.31. The below-market target from 37 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
STT has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 37 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 15 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $161.5 implies -4.0% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 13.5416x, STT trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $161.5 implies -4.0% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $171 for STT, while the most conservative target is $144. The consensus of $161.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $307 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
STT is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 37 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 17 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month STT stock forecast based on 37 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $161.5, with estimates ranging from $144 (bear case) to $171 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $233, with bear/bull scenarios of $147/$307.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates STT's fair value at $233 (base case), with a bear case of $147 and bull case of $307. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 55/100.
STT trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 17.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on STT, with 4 Sell ratings and a price target of $161.5 (-4.0% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
STT analyst price targets range from $144 to $171, a 17% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $161.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $147-$307 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Deep dive into STT consensus models and risk factors.
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
See how regular investing compounds over time.
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.