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NXSTNexstar Media Group, Inc.
$165.57$5.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
NXST logo

Nexstar Media Group, Inc.

NXST
NASDAQ · Entertainment
$165.57
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$5.06B
P/E55.2x
52W High$254.30
Volume341.46K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Debt-Funded TEGNA Deal Strains Leverage Ratios

Nexstar's acquisition of TEGNA has transformed its scale, with revenue surging 150.6% YoY in 2026Q2 to $3.1B, but this growth is debt-funded, pushing debt-to-equity to 5.39 and total debt to $12.1B. The company's core broadcasting business faces structural hea...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

NXST price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

5/12 Beats

EPS beat 5 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+267% Peers

P/E is 267% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 19 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 81% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 6
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue surged 150.6% YoY in 2026Q2 to $3.1B, but gross margin volatility (64.7% to 37.2%) and a drop in operating margin from 28.0% in 2024Q4 to 11.8% in 2026Q2 indicate cyclical and integration pressures.

Analyst Consensus+45.0% target
Buy(24 analysts)
22 Buy2 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong free cash flow

The company's robust free cash flow generation supports capital returns and growth initiatives.

Regulatory-driven M&A optionality

Potential mergers and acquisitions driven by regulatory changes could provide significant upside.

Political ad revenue upside

Above-consensus political advertising revenue is expected to drive near-term earnings beats.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
NXST-18.05%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
NXST-14.38%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
NXST+36.32%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+79.19%
5-Year Return
NXST+27.06%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+70.22%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
55.2x
Forward P/EExpansion
5.4x
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
7.1x
FCF YieldCash Flow
14.7%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
55.2x
8.0x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
7.1x
7.6x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
6.8x
6.2x
80th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$699.18+322.3%
Base (Fair)$1240.27+692.4%
Bull$1886.18+1039.2%
$699.18 Bear$1240.27 Base$1886.18 Bull
Current Market Price: $165.57
Trades at a 86.7% discount to Base DCF ($1240.27)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$4.95B-8.5% YoY
Net income
$109M-84.9% YoY
Free cash flow
$743M-32.8% YoY
Operating margin
17.4%-6.0 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)7.4%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)5%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 6, 2026
$3.61-39.6%
vs $5.98
$2.0B+1.1%
vs $2.0B
Q2 2026
May 7, 2026
$6.15+38.8%
vs $4.43
$1.4B+9.1%
vs $1.3B
Q1 2026
Feb 26, 2026
$4.30+7.2%
vs $4.01
$1.3B+3.1%
vs $1.3B
Q4 2025
Nov 6, 2025
$2.14-18.3%
vs $2.62
$1.2B-4.2%
vs $1.2B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·Sep 10, 2026
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) Presents at Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2026 Transcript

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) Presents at Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2026 Transcript

Seeking Alpha·Sep 9, 2026
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) Presents at Bank of America 2026 Media,Communications & Entertainment Conference Transcript

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) Presents at Bank of America 2026 Media,Communications & Entertainment Conference Transcript

Seeking Alpha·Sep 8, 2026
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) Presents at Citi's 2026 Global TMT Conference Transcript

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) Presents at Citi's 2026 Global TMT Conference Transcript

GuruFocus·Sep 2, 2026
New Mexico State at Florida State Delivers the CW's Most-Watched Sports Broadcast in Network History

The CW Network scored a ratings victory last Saturday as the primetime Week 0 non-conference game between New Mexico State and Florida State delivered the large

Filtered for Nexstar Media Group, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark NXST against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
NXST logoNXSTNexstar Media Group, Inc.Current
$165.57$5.06B55.19-8.47%2.2%5.03%3.32%
GTN logoGTNGray Media, Inc.
$4.58$447.29M-5.20-15.07%-0.83%-0.94%—
SSP logoSSPThe E.W. Scripps Company
$3.02$240.42M-1.62-14.31%-58.81%-127.81%—
SBGI logoSBGISinclair, Inc.
$12.87$899.45M-7.99-10.68%1.6%15.5%—
TGNA logoTGNATEGNA Inc.
$20.03$3.23B14.95-12.57%8.07%7.05%—
FOX logoFOXFox Corporation
$56.96$24.98B14.615.07%9.84%14.5%—

Compare NXST vs Peers

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs GTN

Most directly comparable listed peer for NXST.

Scale Benchmark

vs GOOGL

Larger-name benchmark to compare NXST against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs GTN, SSP, SBGI, TGNA

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

NXST SEC Filings & Documents

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 3, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 16, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 27, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Aug 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 8, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

Get notified when NXST posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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NXST Frequently Asked Questions

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Nexstar Media Group, Inc.'s revenue?

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) reported $6.96B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 4322% increase from $157.5M in 1999.

How fast is Nexstar Media Group, Inc. growing?

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) saw revenue decline by 8.5% over the past year.

Is NXST profitable?

Yes, Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) is profitable, generating $188.0M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (2.2% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does NXST pay dividends?

Yes, Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) pays a dividend with a yield of 3.32%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is NXST's return on equity?

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) has a return on equity (ROE) of 5.0%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

What is Nexstar Media Group, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) generated $743.0M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in NXST back in 1999?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 27+ years of data

See returns →