Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 26, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 5 analysts0.2% Below Target
OBK trades 0.2% below Wall Street's consensus target of $51.50.
Current Price$51.39
Average Target$51.50
Target
Current
Low$49.00
Median$51.50
High$54.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E13.0x
(Value)
PEG Ratio1.42
(Fair)
Implied Growth+53.5%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread9.7%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes OBK achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 13.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
OBK Price Target Analysis
Updated June 30, 2026As of June 30, 2026, Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $51.50, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $51.39, this represents a potential upside of +0.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.59B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $49.00 to a high of $54.00, representing a 10% spread in expectations. The median target of $51.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, OBK trades at a trailing P/E of 21.4x and forward P/E of 13.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.42 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +53.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $44.93, with bear and bull scenarios of $28.31 and $59.20 respectively. Model confidence stands at 46/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+6.9%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
12.6x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HOMBHome Bancshares, Inc. | $5.8B | $28.77 | $31.50 | +9.5% | Hold | 11.7x | 19 |
 SFNCSimmons First National Corporation | $3.3B | $22.67 | $23.00 | +1.5% | Buy | 11.0x | 9 |
 IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation | $743M | $36.04 | $38.00 | +5.4% | Hold | 10.1x | 7 |
 HOPEHope Bancorp, Inc. | $1.7B | $13.57 | $14.50 | +6.9% | Hold | 12.7x | 6 |
 FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc. | $4.9B | $34.48 | $39.25 | +13.8% | Hold | 17.0x | 15 |
 CVBFCVB Financial Corp. | $3.0B | $22.40 | $27.00 | +20.5% | Hold | 15.5x | 16 |
 BANRBanner Corporation | $2.3B | $66.30 | $64.25 | -3.1% | Hold | 10.8x | 13 |
 BOKFBOK Financial Corporation | $8.4B | $138.52 | $132.00 | -4.7% | Hold | 13.5x | 21 |
 IBOCInternational Bancshares Corporation | $4.7B | $76.14 | $85.00 | +11.6% | Buy | 11.7x | 1 |
 TCBKTriCo Bancshares | $1.7B | $53.25 | $57.33 | +7.7% | Buy | 12.6x | 12 |
OBK — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying OBK stock.
What is the OBK stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for OBK is $51.5, close to the current price of $51.39 (0.2% implied move). Based on 5 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is OBK a buy, sell, or hold?
OBK has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $51.5 implies 0.2% upside from current levels.
Is OBK stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 12.9773x, OBK trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $51.5 implies 0.2% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can OBK stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $54 for OBK, while the most conservative target is $49. The consensus of $51.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $59 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover OBK stock?
OBK is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the OBK stock forecast?
The 12-month OBK stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $51.5, with estimates ranging from $49 (bear case) to $54 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $45, with bear/bull scenarios of $28/$59.
What is OBK's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates OBK's fair value at $45 (base case), with a bear case of $28 and bull case of $59. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 46/100.
What is OBK's forward P/E ratio?
OBK trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 21.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy OBK stock?
OBK appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $51.5 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do OBK price targets vary so much?
OBK analyst price targets range from $49 to $54, a 10% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $51.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $28-$59 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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