OCFC trades 5.4% below Wall Street's consensus target of $19.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes OCFC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 21, 2026, OceanFirst Financial Corp. (OCFC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $19.00, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $18.03, this represents a potential upside of +5.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.03B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $19.00 to a high of $19.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $19.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, OCFC trades at a trailing P/E of 15.4x and forward P/E of 9.5x. The forward PEG ratio of 3.41 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +52.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $23.35, with bear and bull scenarios of $14.71 and $30.77 respectively. Model confidence stands at 46/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBTBNBT Bancorp Inc. | $2.4B | $46.68 | $46.00 | -1.5% | Hold | 11.2x | 10 |
WSFSWSFS Financial Corporation | $3.9B | $74.14 | $79.00 | +6.6% | Hold | 11.8x | 13 |
TRMKTrustmark Corporation | $2.6B | $44.67 | $45.50 | +1.9% | Hold | 11.4x | 9 |
FULTFulton Financial Corporation | $4.4B | $22.90 | $23.50 | +2.6% | Hold | 11.3x | 20 |
AMSFAMERISAFE, Inc. | $589M | $31.32 | $44.50 | +42.1% | Buy | 14.9x | 6 |
ACNBACNB Corporation | $592M | $57.22 | $57.50 | +0.5% | Buy | 10.6x | 2 |
NFBKNorthfield Bancorp, Inc. | $602M | $14.41 | $14.50 | +0.6% | Hold | 10.7x | 9 |
COLBColumbia Banking System, Inc. | $7.3B | $30.55 | $32.90 | +7.7% | Buy | 10.0x | 19 |
IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation | $706M | $34.31 | $38.00 | +10.8% | Hold | 9.7x | 7 |
FNFFidelity National Financial, Inc. | $12.6B | $46.82 | $54.00 | +15.3% | Buy | 8.9x | 17 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying OCFC stock.
The consensus price target for OCFC is $19, close to the current price of $18.03 (5.4% implied move). Based on 8 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
OCFC has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 5 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $19 implies 5.4% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 9.477x, OCFC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $19 implies 5.4% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $19 for OCFC, while the most conservative target is $19. The consensus of $19 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $31 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
OCFC is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month OCFC stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $19, with estimates ranging from $19 (bear case) to $19 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $23, with bear/bull scenarios of $15/$31.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates OCFC's fair value at $23 (base case), with a bear case of $15 and bull case of $31. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 46/100.
OCFC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 15.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
OCFC appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $19 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
OCFC analyst price targets range from $19 to $19, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $19 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $15-$31 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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