Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$33.78
Price Target
$39.33
Target Range
$34.00 — $42.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E22.2x
Trailing P/E37.5x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth-22.6%
Median Target$42.00
Analyst Spread20.3%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$34
+0.7%
Consensus
$39
+16.4%
Bull Case
$42
+24.3%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 57/100
Bear$22
Base$75
Bull$158
PZZA Price Target Analysis
Updated May 7, 2026As of May 7, 2026, Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $39.33, based on estimates from 32 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $33.78, this represents a potential upside of +16.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.11B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $34.00 to a high of $42.00, representing a 20% spread in expectations. The median target of $42.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 18 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,14 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, PZZA trades at a trailing P/E of 37.5x and forward P/E of 22.2x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -22.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $74.68, with bear and bull scenarios of $22.24 and $158.19 respectively. Model confidence stands at 57/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+19.5%
Avg Forward P/E25.5x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DPZDomino's Pizza, Inc. | $10.9B | $324.66 | $427.06 | +31.5% | Buy | 16.8x | 52 |
 YUMYum! Brands, Inc. | $43.1B | $156.02 | $174.38 | +11.8% | Hold | 23.1x | 51 |
 QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc. | $26.7B | $77.17 | $83.71 | +8.5% | Buy | 19.0x | 44 |
 MCDMcDonald's Corporation | $202.3B | $284.10 | $352.25 | +24.0% | Buy | 21.5x | 62 |
 JACKJack in the Box Inc. | $261M | $13.63 | $19.92 | +46.1% | Hold | 4.0x | 41 |
 DENNDenny's Corporation | $322M | $6.25 | $6.00 | -4.0% | Buy | 15.0x | 21 |
 SBUXStarbucks Corporation | $121.3B | $106.44 | $108.38 | +1.8% | Hold | 44.9x | 59 |
 CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | $42.6B | $32.70 | $43.72 | +33.7% | Buy | 28.8x | 67 |
 WENThe Wendy's Company | $1.3B | $6.65 | $7.73 | +16.2% | Hold | 11.5x | 51 |
 SHAKShake Shack Inc. | $3.9B | $96.52 | $120.89 | +25.2% | Hold | 70.0x | 35 |
Upside Potential Comparison
JACKCMGDPZSHAKMCDWENYUMQSRSee PZZA's True Return
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Start ComparisonPZZA — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying PZZA stock.
What is the PZZA stock price target for 2026?
Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) has a consensus 12-month price target of $39.33, implying 16.4% upside from $33.78. The 32 analysts covering PZZA see moderate appreciation potential.
Is PZZA a buy, sell, or hold?
PZZA has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 32 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 18 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $39.33 implies 16.4% upside from current levels.
Is PZZA stock overvalued or undervalued?
PZZA trades at a forward P/E of 22.2471x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $39.33 (16.4% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
How high can PZZA stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $42 for PZZA, while the most conservative target is $34. The consensus of $39.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $158 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover PZZA stock?
PZZA is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 32 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 18 have Buy ratings, 14 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the PZZA stock forecast?
The 12-month PZZA stock forecast based on 32 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $39.33, with estimates ranging from $34 (bear case) to $42 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $75, with bear/bull scenarios of $22/$158.
What is PZZA's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates PZZA's fair value at $75 (base case), with a bear case of $22 and bull case of $158. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 57/100.
What is PZZA's forward P/E ratio?
PZZA trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 37.5x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy PZZA stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on PZZA, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $39.33 price target (16.4% upside). 18 of 32 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do PZZA price targets vary so much?
PZZA analyst price targets range from $34 to $42, a 20% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $39.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $22-$158 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.