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CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
$32.48$42.3B
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CMG logo

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 67 analysts

32.6% Below Target

CMG trades 32.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $43.06.

Current Price$32.48
Average Target$43.06
Target
Current
Low$36.00
Median$43.50
High$52.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E28.6x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio0.81
(Undervalued)
Implied Growth+1.8%
(Low)
Analyst Spread37.2%
(Moderate)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$32.48
Consensus$43.06
High$52.00
Low$36.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes CMG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 28.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 67 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 67 published analyst recommendations for CMG

47/67 analysts are bullish
+35
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 67 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage67 Analysts
Net Score+35
Bull / Bear70% / 0%
Strong Buy00%
Buy4770%
Hold2030%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
4770%
Hold
2030%
Sell
00%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix70% Buy · 30% Hold · 0% Sell
Buy (47)Hold (20)Sell (0)

CMG Price Target Analysis

Updated June 22, 2026

As of June 22, 2026, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $43.06, based on estimates from 67 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $32.48, this represents a potential upside of +32.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $42.31B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $36.00 to a high of $52.00, representing a 37% spread in expectations. The median target of $43.50 aligns closely with the consensus average.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 47 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,20 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.

From a valuation perspective, CMG trades at a trailing P/E of 28.5x and forward P/E of 28.6x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.81 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +1.8% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $39.63, with bear and bull scenarios of $24.96 and $52.21 respectively. Model confidence stands at 67/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+22.6%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
44.1x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
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SFMSprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
$7.6B$80.49$91.00
+13.1%
Buy14.4x43
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$2.4B$59.08$90.58
+53.3%
Buy51.5x37
TXRH logo
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.
$11.7B$177.75$191.46
+7.7%
Hold27.7x44
CAVA logo
CAVACAVA Group, Inc.
$10.4B$89.18$89.89
+0.8%
Buy161.0x25
WING logo
WINGWingstop Inc.
$4.4B$161.78$279.21
+72.6%
Hold35.4x35
BROS logo
BROSDutch Bros Inc.
$9.0B$70.72$74.42
+5.2%
Buy77.3x22
MCD logo
MCDMcDonald's Corporation
$198.0B$278.61$347.33
+24.7%
Buy21.5x62
YUM logo
YUMYum! Brands, Inc.
$42.0B$151.99$178.00
+17.1%
Hold22.4x51
QSR logo
QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc.
$25.4B$73.44$83.73
+14.0%
Buy18.1x44
WEN logo
WENThe Wendy's Company
$1.3B$6.80$8.00
+17.6%
Hold11.8x51

CMG — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying CMG stock.

What is the CMG stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for CMG is $43.06, representing 32.6% upside from the current price of $32.485. With 67 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is CMG a buy, sell, or hold?

CMG has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 67 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 47 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $43.06 implies 32.6% upside from current levels.

Is CMG stock overvalued or undervalued?

CMG trades at a forward P/E of 28.6161x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $43.06 (32.6% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.

How high can CMG stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $52 for CMG, while the most conservative target is $36. The consensus of $43.06 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $52 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover CMG stock?

CMG is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 67 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 47 have Buy ratings, 20 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the CMG stock forecast?

The 12-month CMG stock forecast based on 67 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $43.06, with estimates ranging from $36 (bear case) to $52 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $40, with bear/bull scenarios of $25/$52.

What is CMG's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates CMG's fair value at $40 (base case), with a bear case of $25 and bull case of $52. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 67/100.

What is CMG's forward P/E ratio?

CMG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 28.5x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy CMG stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on CMG, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $43.06 price target (32.6% upside). 47 of 67 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do CMG price targets vary so much?

CMG analyst price targets range from $36 to $52, a 37% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $43.06 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $25-$52 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

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