Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 3, 2026, Select Medical Holdings Corporation (SEM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $18.00, based on estimates from 13 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $14.97, this represents a potential upside of +20.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.85B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $17.00 to a high of $19.00, representing a 11% spread in expectations. The median target of $18.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, SEM trades at a trailing P/E of 12.9x and forward P/E of 12.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +39.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $8.50, with bear and bull scenarios of $6.69 and $22.93 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
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Start ComparisonThe consensus Wall Street price target for SEM is $18, representing 20.2% upside from the current price of $14.97. With 13 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
SEM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 13 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 6 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $18 implies 20.2% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 12.0367x, SEM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $18 implies 20.2% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $19 for SEM, while the most conservative target is $17. The consensus of $18 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $23 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
SEM is moderately covered, with 13 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month SEM stock forecast based on 13 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $17 (bear case) to $19 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $9, with bear/bull scenarios of $7/$23.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SEM's fair value at $9 (base case), with a bear case of $7 and bull case of $23. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.
SEM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 12.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on SEM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $18 price target (20.2% upside). 6 of 13 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SEM analyst price targets range from $17 to $19, a 11% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $18 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $7-$23 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.