SPG trades 1.5% above Wall Street's consensus target of $208.22.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes SPG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 32.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 37 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 22, 2026, Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $208.22, based on estimates from 37 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $211.33, this represents a potential downside of -1.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $68.65B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $192.00 to a high of $230.00, representing a 18% spread in expectations. The median target of $207.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 16 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,19 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, SPG trades at a trailing P/E of 14.9x and forward P/E of 32.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.02 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -54.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $237.13, with bear and bull scenarios of $149.39 and $312.44 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MACThe Macerich Company | $6.1B | $23.61 | $23.50 | -0.5% | Hold | — | 35 |
CBLCBL & Associates Properties, Inc. | $1.5B | $47.40 | — | — | Hold | 14.6x | 23 |
ORealty Income Corporation | $56.2B | $60.24 | $68.00 | +12.9% | Hold | 37.7x | 34 |
REGRegency Centers Corporation | $14.1B | $76.88 | $83.56 | +8.7% | Buy | 31.1x | 32 |
KIMKimco Realty Corporation | $16.4B | $24.38 | $25.17 | +3.2% | Hold | 29.6x | 36 |
BRXBrixmor Property Group Inc. | $9.5B | $30.91 | $33.13 | +7.2% | Buy | 26.8x | 30 |
SITCSITE Centers Corp. | $250M | $4.77 | $8.00 | +67.7% | Hold | — | 31 |
NKENIKE, Inc. | $53.8B | $45.20 | $64.13 | +41.9% | Buy | 30.3x | 71 |
LLoews Corporation | $22.1B | $107.28 | — | — | Buy | — | 4 |
SBUXStarbucks Corporation | $114.7B | $100.65 | $108.50 | +7.8% | Buy | 42.1x | 59 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SPG stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for SPG is $208.22, -1.5% from its current price of $211.33. The below-market target from 37 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
SPG has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 37 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 19 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $208.22 implies -1.5% downside from current levels.
SPG trades at a forward P/E of 32.1087x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $208.22 (-1.5% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $230 for SPG, while the most conservative target is $192. The consensus of $208.22 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $312 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
SPG is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 37 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 16 have Buy ratings, 19 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month SPG stock forecast based on 37 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $208.22, with estimates ranging from $192 (bear case) to $230 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $237, with bear/bull scenarios of $149/$312.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SPG's fair value at $237 (base case), with a bear case of $149 and bull case of $312. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
SPG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 32.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 14.9x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on SPG, with 2 Sell ratings and a price target of $208.22 (-1.5% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SPG analyst price targets range from $192 to $230, a 18% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $208.22 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $149-$312 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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