Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 2, 2026, TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $233.90, based on estimates from 18 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $223.87, this represents a potential upside of +4.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $26.00B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $210.00 to a high of $251.00, representing a 18% spread in expectations. The median target of $236.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 15 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, TKO trades at a trailing P/E of 99.1x and forward P/E of 37.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 31.19 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +499.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $286.57, with bear and bull scenarios of $63.91 and $767.24 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
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Start ComparisonThe consensus price target for TKO is $233.9, close to the current price of $223.87 (4.5% implied move). Based on 18 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
TKO has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 18 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 15 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $233.9 implies 4.5% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 37.176x, TKO trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $233.9 (4.5% upside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $251 for TKO, while the most conservative target is $210. The consensus of $233.9 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $767 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
TKO is well covered by analysts, with 18 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 15 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month TKO stock forecast based on 18 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $233.9, with estimates ranging from $210 (bear case) to $251 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $287, with bear/bull scenarios of $64/$767.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TKO's fair value at $287 (base case), with a bear case of $64 and bull case of $767. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.
TKO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 37.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 99.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
TKO appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $233.9 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TKO analyst price targets range from $210 to $251, a 18% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $233.9 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $64-$767 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.