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Tuya Inc. (TUYA) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026

Current Price
$2.55
Market reference
Price Target
$3.61
+41.6% Upside
Target Range
$3.61 — $3.61
High conviction
Analyst Rating
Buy
2 analysts
Forward P/E20.0x
Trailing P/E300.0x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth+167.9%
Median Target$3.61
Analyst Spread0.0%

Analysts see +41.6% upside to their consensus target of $3.61. The bullish rating consensus aligns with positive price target gap.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$2.55
Consensus$3.61
High$3.61
Low$3.61
Model$2.55
Bear Case
$4
+41.6%
Consensus
$4
+41.6%
Bull Case
$4
+41.6%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 18/100
Bear$-8
Base$3
Bull$-4

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 2 published analyst recommendations for TUYA

2/2 analysts are bullish
+50
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 2 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage2 Analysts
Net Score+50
Bull / Bear100% / 0%
Strong Buy00%
Buy2100%
Hold00%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
2100%
Hold
00%
Sell
00%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix100% Buy · 0% Hold · 0% Sell
Buy (2)Hold (0)Sell (0)

TUYA Price Target Analysis

Updated March 1, 2026

As of March 1, 2026, Tuya Inc. (TUYA) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $3.61, based on estimates from 2 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $2.55, this represents a potential upside of +41.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $179M.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $3.61 to a high of $3.61, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $3.61 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.

From a valuation perspective, TUYA trades at a trailing P/E of 300.0x and forward P/E of 20.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +167.9% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $2.55, with bear and bull scenarios of $-8.46 and $-3.60 respectively. Model confidence stands at 18/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Technology stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+58.1%
Avg Forward P/E109.8x
Peers with Coverage9 / 9
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
TUYATuya Inc.
$179M$2.55$3.61+41.6%Buy20.0x2
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation$2.9T$392.74$583.67+48.6%Buy23.8x78
ORCLOracle Corporation$408.1B$145.40$295.85+103.5%Buy19.7x86
CRWVCoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock$32.6B$79.56$121.07+52.2%Buy—25
NTNXNutanix, Inc.$10.4B$38.28$60.55+58.2%Buy21.1x31
CORZCore Scientific, Inc.$5.2B$16.97$27.38+61.3%Buy314.8x22
DOCNDigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.$5.2B$56.06$65.83+17.4%Buy56.0x19
BLZEBackblaze, Inc.$217M$3.76$7.00+86.2%Buy313.3x8
DGXXDigi Power X Inc.$180M$2.76$4.25+54.0%Buy—1

Upside Potential Comparison

ORCL
+103.5%
BLZE
+86.2%
CORZ
+61.3%
NTNX
+58.2%
DGXX
+54.0%
CRWV
+52.2%
MSFT
+48.6%
TUYA
+41.6%

See TUYA's True Return

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Is TUYA Undervalued?

See our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.

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Compare TUYA vs NVDA

See how TUYA stacks up against sector leader NVIDIA Corporation.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the TUYA stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for TUYA is $3.61, representing 41.6% upside from the current price of $2.55. With 2 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is TUYA a buy, sell, or hold?

TUYA has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 2 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 2 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $3.61 implies 41.6% upside from current levels.

Is TUYA stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 20x, TUYA trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $3.61 implies 41.6% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can TUYA stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $3.61 for TUYA, while the most conservative target is $3.61. The consensus of $3.61 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $-4 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover TUYA stock?

TUYA is lightly followed, with 2 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the TUYA stock forecast?

The 12-month TUYA stock forecast based on 2 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $3.61, with estimates ranging from $3.61 (bear case) to $3.61 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $3, with bear/bull scenarios of $-8/$-4.

What is TUYA's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates TUYA's fair value at $3 (base case), with a bear case of $-8 and bull case of $-4. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 18/100.

What is TUYA's forward P/E ratio?

TUYA trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 300.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy TUYA stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on TUYA, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $3.61 price target (41.6% upside). 2 of 2 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do TUYA price targets vary so much?

TUYA analyst price targets range from $3.61 to $3.61, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $3.61 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $-8-$-4 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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