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Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026

Current Price
$392.74
Market reference
Price Target
$583.67
+48.6% Upside
Target Range
$392.00 — $675.00
Wide divergence
Analyst Rating
Buy
78 analysts
Forward P/E23.8x
Trailing P/E28.8x
Forward PEG1.27
Implied Growth+3.1%
Median Target$600.00
Analyst Spread48.5%

Analysts see +48.6% upside to their consensus target of $583.67. The bullish rating consensus aligns with positive price target gap.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$392.74
Consensus$583.67
High$675.00
Low$392.00
Model$555.60
Bear Case
$392
-0.2%
Consensus
$584
+48.6%
Bull Case
$675
+71.9%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 86/100
Bear$328
Base$556
Bull$661

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 78 published analyst recommendations for MSFT

62/78 analysts are bullish
+40
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 78 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage78 Analysts
Net Score+40
Bull / Bear79% / 0%
Strong Buy00%
Buy6279%
Hold1621%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
6279%
Hold
1621%
Sell
00%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix79% Buy · 21% Hold · 0% Sell
Buy (62)Hold (16)Sell (0)

MSFT Price Target Analysis

Updated March 2, 2026

As of March 2, 2026, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $583.67, based on estimates from 78 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $392.74, this represents a potential upside of +48.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.92T.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $392.00 to a high of $675.00, representing a 48% spread in expectations. The median target of $600.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 62 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,16 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.

From a valuation perspective, MSFT trades at a trailing P/E of 28.8x and forward P/E of 23.8x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.27 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +3.1% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $555.60, with bear and bull scenarios of $327.95 and $660.99 respectively. Model confidence stands at 86/100, indicating high predictability in the company's fundamentals.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Technology stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+58.1%
Avg Forward P/E109.8x
Peers with Coverage9 / 9
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation
$2.9T$392.74$583.67+48.6%Buy23.8x78
ORCLOracle Corporation$408.1B$145.40$295.85+103.5%Buy19.7x86
CRWVCoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock$32.6B$79.56$121.07+52.2%Buy—25
NTNXNutanix, Inc.$10.4B$38.28$60.55+58.2%Buy21.1x31
CORZCore Scientific, Inc.$5.2B$16.97$27.38+61.3%Buy314.8x22
DOCNDigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.$5.2B$56.06$65.83+17.4%Buy56.0x19
BLZEBackblaze, Inc.$217M$3.76$7.00+86.2%Buy313.3x8
DGXXDigi Power X Inc.$180M$2.76$4.25+54.0%Buy—1
TUYATuya Inc.$179M$2.55$3.61+41.6%Buy20.0x2

Upside Potential Comparison

ORCL
+103.5%
BLZE
+86.2%
CORZ
+61.3%
NTNX
+58.2%
DGXX
+54.0%
CRWV
+52.2%
MSFT
+48.6%
TUYA
+41.6%

See MSFT's True Return

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Is MSFT Undervalued?

See our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.

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Compare MSFT vs NVDA

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the MSFT stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for MSFT is $583.67, representing 48.6% upside from the current price of $392.74. With 78 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is MSFT a buy, sell, or hold?

MSFT has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 78 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 62 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $583.67 implies 48.6% upside from current levels.

Is MSFT stock overvalued or undervalued?

MSFT trades at a forward P/E of 23.8358x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $583.67 (48.6% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.

How high can MSFT stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $675 for MSFT, while the most conservative target is $392. The consensus of $583.67 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $661 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover MSFT stock?

MSFT is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 78 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 62 have Buy ratings, 16 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the MSFT stock forecast?

The 12-month MSFT stock forecast based on 78 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $583.67, with estimates ranging from $392 (bear case) to $675 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $556, with bear/bull scenarios of $328/$661.

What is MSFT's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates MSFT's fair value at $556 (base case), with a bear case of $328 and bull case of $661. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 86/100.

What is MSFT's forward P/E ratio?

MSFT trades at a forward P/E ratio of 23.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 28.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy MSFT stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on MSFT, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $583.67 price target (48.6% upside). 62 of 78 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do MSFT price targets vary so much?

MSFT analyst price targets range from $392 to $675, a 48% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $583.67 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $328-$661 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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