Ternium S.A. (TX) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 12, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 16 analysts2.1% Below Target
TX trades 2.1% below Wall Street's consensus target of $48.50.
Current Price$47.49
Average Target$48.50
Target
Current
Low$36.00
Median$48.00
High$62.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E9.6x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+127.9%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread53.6%
(Moderate)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes TX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 16 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
TX Price Target Analysis
Updated June 28, 2026As of June 28, 2026, Ternium S.A. (TX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $48.50, based on estimates from 16 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $47.49, this represents a potential upside of +2.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $9.32B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $36.00 to a high of $62.00, representing a 54% spread in expectations. The median target of $48.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 8 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,7 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, TX trades at a trailing P/E of 21.6x and forward P/E of 9.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +127.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $44.19, with bear and bull scenarios of $27.84 and $58.22 respectively. Model confidence stands at 42/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Basic Materials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Steelmakers (Integrated and Mini-Mill)Avg Peer Upside
-1.2%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
19.5x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MTArcelorMittal S.A. | $49.5B | $65.03 | $60.00 | -7.7% | Buy | 13.9x | 44 |
 STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc. | $39.1B | $270.13 | $235.75 | -12.7% | Buy | 17.3x | 27 |
 NUENucor Corporation | $57.5B | $252.60 | $240.86 | -4.6% | Buy | 16.9x | 32 |
 CLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc. | $7.2B | $12.68 | $12.17 | -4.0% | Hold | — | 43 |
 RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. | $20.7B | $404.11 | $373.50 | -7.6% | Hold | 20.5x | 27 |
 CMCCommercial Metals Company | $8.1B | $73.22 | $82.17 | +12.2% | Buy | 11.5x | 26 |
 WORWorthington Industries, Inc. | $2.9B | $59.04 | $67.00 | +13.5% | Buy | 17.2x | 15 |
 ZEUSOlympic Steel, Inc. | $533M | $47.86 | $41.00 | -14.3% | Buy | 20.7x | 6 |
 FCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc. | $99.2B | $69.05 | $71.44 | +3.5% | Buy | 26.0x | 41 |
 VMCVulcan Materials Company | $38.3B | $294.82 | $322.60 | +9.4% | Buy | 32.0x | 36 |
TX — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TX stock.
What is the TX stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for TX is $48.5, close to the current price of $47.49 (2.1% implied move). Based on 16 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is TX a buy, sell, or hold?
TX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 16 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 7 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $48.5 implies 2.1% upside from current levels.
Is TX stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 9.644x, TX trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $48.5 implies 2.1% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can TX stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $62 for TX, while the most conservative target is $36. The consensus of $48.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $58 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover TX stock?
TX is well covered by analysts, with 16 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 7 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the TX stock forecast?
The 12-month TX stock forecast based on 16 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $48.5, with estimates ranging from $36 (bear case) to $62 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $44, with bear/bull scenarios of $28/$58.
What is TX's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TX's fair value at $44 (base case), with a bear case of $28 and bull case of $58. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 42/100.
What is TX's forward P/E ratio?
TX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 21.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy TX stock?
TX appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $48.5 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do TX price targets vary so much?
TX analyst price targets range from $36 to $62, a 54% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $48.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $28-$58 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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Historical Returns
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Peer Comparison
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