UBS Group AG (UBS) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$44.10
Price Target
$23.57
Target Range
$19.24 — $34.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E13.5x
Trailing P/E23.6x
Forward PEG12.21
Implied Growth+72.4%
Median Target$22.45
Analyst Spread62.6%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$19
-56.4%
Consensus
$24
-46.6%
Bull Case
$34
-22.9%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 44/100
Bear$28
Base$50
Bull$200
UBS Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, UBS Group AG (UBS) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $23.57, based on estimates from 29 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $44.10, this represents a potential downside of -46.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $136.86B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $19.24 to a high of $34.00, representing a 63% spread in expectations. The median target of $22.45 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 16 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,7 rating it Hold, and 6 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, UBS trades at a trailing P/E of 23.6x and forward P/E of 13.5x. The forward PEG ratio of 12.21 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +72.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $50.22, with bear and bull scenarios of $28.18 and $200.35 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+12.3%
Avg Forward P/E13.6x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MSMorgan Stanley | $301.1B | $189.21 | $205.75 | +8.7% | Buy | 15.9x | 52 |
 GSThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | $285.5B | $918.89 | $995.89 | +8.4% | Hold | 15.5x | 55 |
 BACBank of America Corporation | $404.3B | $53.12 | $61.13 | +15.1% | Buy | 11.9x | 54 |
 CCitigroup Inc. | $223.7B | $128.04 | $140.42 | +9.7% | Buy | 11.8x | 27 |
 JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co. | $834.2B | $309.40 | $338.78 | +9.5% | Buy | 13.9x | 61 |
 WFCWells Fargo & Company | $247.1B | $79.89 | $98.13 | +22.8% | Hold | 11.4x | 60 |
 BKThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation | $91.1B | $132.36 | $139.86 | +5.7% | Buy | 15.1x | 35 |
 STTState Street Corporation | $42.0B | $148.68 | $160.44 | +7.9% | Buy | 12.0x | 37 |
 RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc. | $31.3B | $158.87 | $169.00 | +6.4% | Hold | 13.4x | 24 |
 SCHWThe Charles Schwab Corporation | $164.2B | $92.40 | $119.11 | +28.9% | Buy | 15.3x | 50 |
Upside Potential Comparison
SCHWWFCBACCJPMMSGSSTTFull UBS Stock Analysis
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Start ComparisonUBS — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying UBS stock.
What is the UBS stock price target for 2026?
UBS's consensus price target is $23.57, -46.6% below the current price of $44.1. The 29 analysts tracking UBS see downside risk at present valuations.
Is UBS a buy, sell, or hold?
UBS has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 29 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 16 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $23.57 implies -46.6% downside from current levels.
Is UBS stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 13.4916x, UBS trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $23.57 implies -46.6% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can UBS stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $34 for UBS, while the most conservative target is $19.2436. The consensus of $23.57 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $200 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover UBS stock?
UBS is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 29 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 16 have Buy ratings, 7 recommend Hold, and 6 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the UBS stock forecast?
The 12-month UBS stock forecast based on 29 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $23.57, with estimates ranging from $19.2436 (bear case) to $34 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $50, with bear/bull scenarios of $28/$200.
What is UBS's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates UBS's fair value at $50 (base case), with a bear case of $28 and bull case of $200. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.
What is UBS's forward P/E ratio?
UBS trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 23.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy UBS stock?
Analysts are cautious on UBS, with 6 Sell ratings and a price target of $23.57 (-46.6% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do UBS price targets vary so much?
UBS analyst price targets range from $19.2436 to $34, a 63% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $23.57 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $28-$200 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.