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UBSUBS Group AG
$47.71$156.4B
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UBS Group AG (UBS) Research Brief

Wall Street consensus, price target range, and equity research thesis

Buy29 Analyst Coverage
Consensus Target
$24-50.6% Downside
Current: $47.71
Analyst Range
Low $19High $34
12-Month High/Low Spread
Ratings Mix
16 Buy·7 Hold·6 Sell
Earnings & Valuation
EPS Miss 3.3%
Forward P/E: 13.1x

Executive Summary & Research Take

Wall Street currently rates UBS buy with a 12-month price target of $24 (-50.6% downside). The sections below cover the bull case, key risks, and latest earnings context for UBS Group AG.

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Analyst Research Summary

Investment Thesis: Bull Case & Risk Factors

A structured look at the bull case, the risks, and the most recent earnings execution for UBS.

Current setup

UBS missed estimates last quarter. Below are the key reasons analysts remain constructive and the risks that could change that view.

Bull Case

What keeps the long thesis intact

  • Rapid EPS Growth 2025-2028UBS is projected to achieve the fastest sequential earnings per share growth among global banks, with a 30% increase expected between 2025 and 2028. In 2025, the bank’s revenue rose 3.26% to $49.60 billion, while earnings surged 52.74% to $7.77 billion.
  • Wealth Management Asset BaseUBS’s Asset Management segment serves high‑net‑worth clients and has surpassed $2 trillion in invested assets, providing a solid and growing revenue stream.
  • Credit Suisse Integration GainsThe successful integration of Credit Suisse is expected to lift margins and unlock long‑term earnings power through efficiency gains, a critical test of UBS’s strategy.
  • Digital Finance & Private MarketsUBS is investing in digital finance, exemplified by a stablecoin sandbox, and consolidating private credit funds into an insured debt offering, positioning it for growth in emerging financial tech.
  • Strong Shareholder ReturnsUBS declared a special dividend of $0.55 per share payable in April 2026 and has increased dividends for five consecutive years, underscoring its commitment to rewarding shareholders.

Wall Street rates UBS buy, giving the bull case institutional backing from 29 analysts.

Watch Out For

What can break the setup quickly

No AI-generated risk factors available for UBS yet.

Watch whether new negative commentary on UBS points to these structural risks or is simply reacting to short-term price moves.

UBS Earnings Reaction — What the Last Quarter Showed

Last Quarter

EPS
$0.87 vs $0.90 est.Miss 3.3%
Revenue
$13.3B vs $13.4B est.Miss 0.4%
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UBS — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying UBS stock.

What is the analyst consensus on UBS?
Verdict

UBS faces headwinds — analysts' $24 target is -50.6% from $47.71, suggesting limited near-term upside. This is informational only — verify the data and consider your own risk tolerance before deciding.

What are recent analyst rating changes for UBS?
Timing

Timing depends on your horizon, but the data signals are: consensus rating "Buy" with -50.6% upside to the $24 target.

What is the price target for UBS stock?
Price Target

UBS's consensus 12-month price target is $24, set by 29 Wall Street analysts. The bull case high is $34 and the bear case low is $19. From the current price of $47.71, this implies -50.6% upside.

Is UBS overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation

UBS appears overvalued — the $24 consensus target is -50.6% from today's $47.71. It trades at a forward P/E of 13.1x. Targets range from $19 (bear) to $34 (bull), reflecting different assumptions about growth and margins.

What were UBS's latest earnings results?
Earnings

UBS reports next quarter. Earnings-week moves are volatile — historically, analyst targets revise upward after a beat and downward after a miss. The current consensus is "Buy" with a $24 target. Consider position sizing rather than going all-in pre-print.

What is the bull case for UBS?
Coverage

Of 29 analysts covering UBS Group AG (UBS): 0 Strong Buy, 16 Buy, 7 Hold, 6 Sell, 0 Strong Sell — a "Buy" consensus. The 12-month price target is $24 (range $19–$34). Bullish analysts outnumber bearish by more than 2-to-1.

What are the risks of investing in UBS?
Risks

6 of the 29 analysts covering UBS rate it Sell or Strong Sell. Common concerns include valuation stretch, slowing growth, and sector-specific headwinds — see the Bull vs. Risk cards above for the specific theses on UBS Group AG.

Financial Data & Software Notice: VCP Scanner is an educational financial research database and stock screening software platform. VCP Scanner does not generate, recommend, or package trade decisions, buy/sell signals, or personalized investment advice. Consensus ratings and price targets reflect aggregated third-party Wall Street analyst research from public SEC filings. See our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.