UMB Financial Corporation (UMBF) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$131.06
Price Target
$150.40
Target Range
$140.00 — $170.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E10.3x
Trailing P/E14.4x
Forward PEG1.14
Implied Growth+10.1%
Median Target$145.00
Analyst Spread19.9%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$140
+6.8%
Consensus
$150
+14.8%
Bull Case
$170
+29.7%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 60/100
Bear$110
Base$268
Bull$336
UMBF Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, UMB Financial Corporation (UMBF) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $150.40, based on estimates from 18 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $131.06, this represents a potential upside of +14.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $9.98B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $140.00 to a high of $170.00, representing a 20% spread in expectations. The median target of $145.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 10 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,8 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, UMBF trades at a trailing P/E of 14.4x and forward P/E of 10.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.14 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +10.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $268.03, with bear and bull scenarios of $109.88 and $336.16 respectively. Model confidence stands at 60/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+14.1%
Avg Forward P/E12.2x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 WTFCWintrust Financial Corporation | $10.1B | $150.46 | $174.57 | +16.0% | Buy | 11.6x | 22 |
 CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc. | $7.7B | $52.13 | $58.50 | +12.2% | Hold | 12.9x | 15 |
 BOKFBOK Financial Corporation | $10.4B | $134.76 | $131.57 | -2.4% | Hold | 13.2x | 21 |
 IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation | $690M | $33.52 | $38.00 | +13.4% | Hold | 9.4x | 7 |
 FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc. | $4.6B | $32.22 | $39.25 | +21.8% | Hold | 15.8x | 15 |
 HBANHuntington Bancshares Incorporated | $26.0B | $16.41 | $20.38 | +24.2% | Buy | 11.2x | 48 |
 FHNFirst Horizon Corporation | $12.0B | $24.78 | $28.00 | +13.0% | Hold | 11.6x | 35 |
 NTRSNorthern Trust Corporation | $29.9B | $161.60 | $153.75 | -4.9% | Hold | 14.9x | 35 |
 STTState Street Corporation | $42.0B | $148.68 | $160.44 | +7.9% | Buy | 12.0x | 37 |
 SNVSynovus Financial Corp. | $6.9B | $50.05 | $70.00 | +39.9% | Buy | 8.9x | 32 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonUMBF — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying UMBF stock.
What is the UMBF stock price target for 2026?
UMB Financial Corporation (UMBF) has a consensus 12-month price target of $150.4, implying 14.8% upside from $131.06. The 18 analysts covering UMBF see moderate appreciation potential.
Is UMBF a buy, sell, or hold?
UMBF has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 18 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 10 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $150.4 implies 14.8% upside from current levels.
Is UMBF stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 10.2969x, UMBF trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $150.4 implies 14.8% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can UMBF stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $170 for UMBF, while the most conservative target is $140. The consensus of $150.4 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $336 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover UMBF stock?
UMBF is well covered by analysts, with 18 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 9 have Buy ratings, 8 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the UMBF stock forecast?
The 12-month UMBF stock forecast based on 18 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $150.4, with estimates ranging from $140 (bear case) to $170 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $268, with bear/bull scenarios of $110/$336.
What is UMBF's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates UMBF's fair value at $268 (base case), with a bear case of $110 and bull case of $336. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 60/100.
What is UMBF's forward P/E ratio?
UMBF trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 14.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy UMBF stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on UMBF, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $150.4 price target (14.8% upside). 10 of 18 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do UMBF price targets vary so much?
UMBF analyst price targets range from $140 to $170, a 20% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $150.4 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $110-$336 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.