12.5% Below Target

Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) has a consensus 12-month price target of $86, implying 12.5% upside from $76.42. The 58 analysts covering URBN see moderate appreciation potential.

URBN has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 58 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 33 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $86 implies 12.5% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 14.4913x, URBN trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $86 implies 12.5% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $100 for URBN, while the most conservative target is $72. The consensus of $86 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $124 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

URBN is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 58 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 23 have Buy ratings, 33 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month URBN stock forecast based on 58 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $86, with estimates ranging from $72 (bear case) to $100 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $94, with bear/bull scenarios of $59/$124.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates URBN's fair value at $94 (base case), with a bear case of $59 and bull case of $124. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 57/100.

URBN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 15.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Wall Street analysts are optimistic on URBN, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $86 price target (12.5% upside). 24 of 58 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

URBN analyst price targets range from $72 to $100, a 33% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $86 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $59-$124 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.