VIST trades 41.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $91.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes VIST achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 7.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $91.00, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $64.25, this represents a potential upside of +41.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $6.70B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $87.00 to a high of $95.00, representing a 9% spread in expectations. The median target of $91.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, VIST trades at a trailing P/E of 9.6x and forward P/E of 7.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +20.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $102.12, with bear and bull scenarios of $64.34 and $134.55 respectively. Model confidence stands at 42/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CEPUCentral Puerto S.A. | $1.8B | $11.68 | $12.00 | +2.7% | Hold | 0.0x | 4 |
 YPFYPF Sociedad Anónima | $19.2B | $49.67 | $56.67 | +14.1% | Buy | 0.0x | 15 |
 GGALGrupo Financiero Galicia S.A. | $5.8B | $35.89 | $60.50 | +68.6% | Buy | 0.0x | 12 |
 CRESYCresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria | $736M | $11.34 | $12.68 | +11.8% | Buy | 0.1x | 1 |
 VNOMViper Energy, Inc. | $14.6B | $40.64 | $54.56 | +34.3% | Buy | 15.4x | 42 |
 CIVICivitas Resources, Inc. | $2.3B | $27.38 | $63.42 | +131.6% | Hold | 6.8x | 16 |
 MTDRMatador Resources Company | $6.6B | $53.50 | $72.45 | +35.4% | Buy | 6.7x | 42 |
 GPRKGeoPark Limited | $569M | $10.85 | $12.00 | +10.6% | Buy | 9.9x | 9 |
 SLBSlb N.V. | $72.9B | $48.74 | $64.58 | +32.5% | Buy | 19.7x | 66 |
 HALHalliburton Company | $26.6B | $31.85 | $43.11 | +35.4% | Buy | 13.6x | 64 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying VIST stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for VIST is $91, representing 41.6% upside from the current price of $64.25. With 6 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
VIST has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 6 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $91 implies 41.6% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 7.2767x, VIST trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $91 implies 41.6% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $95 for VIST, while the most conservative target is $87. The consensus of $91 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $135 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
VIST is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month VIST stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $91, with estimates ranging from $87 (bear case) to $95 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $102, with bear/bull scenarios of $64/$135.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates VIST's fair value at $102 (base case), with a bear case of $64 and bull case of $135. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 42/100.
VIST trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 9.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on VIST, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $91 price target (41.6% upside). 6 of 6 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
VIST analyst price targets range from $87 to $95, a 9% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $91 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $64-$135 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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