Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$41.14
→
Intrinsic$79.74
+94%
$50.10$79.74$135.97
Market implies 11% growth for 5 years
DCF analysis suggests CUBE could have 94% upside at 25% growth — verify assumptions match your view.
At $41, the market prices in 11% annual cash flow growth — a moderate expectation aligned with historical trends (25%).
Range: Bear $50 → Bull $136. Current price implies expectations below the bear case — very conservative expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 21% | 23% | 25% | 27% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $101 | $110 | $120 | $131 |
| 10% | $67 | $73 | $80 | $87 |
| 12% | $48 | $52 | $57 | $63 |
| 14% | $36 | $39 | $43 | $47 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($136) offers 231% upside at 30% growth, 9% discount
- Price below even worst-case scenario — strong margin of safety
- Market-implied growth (11%) ≤ historical CAGR (25%)
Bear Case
- Bear case ($50) with 20% growth, 12% discount rate
- Using 25% growth — aggressive, watch for mean reversion
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5-Year FFO Projection
Year 1$746.10M
Year 2$932.63M
Year 3$1.17B
Year 4$1.46B
Year 5$1.82B
Terminal$26.80B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate25.0%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base FFO$596.88MTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. Uses FFO per NAREIT standards. See FAQ below for full methodology.