MODEL VERDICT
Dune Acquisition Corporation II (IPOD)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, competitive benchmarking & quality-adjusted fair value
Dune Acquisition Corporation II is currently trading at a 345.49% discount to its peer-implied fair value.
15 peers grouped by industry classification and market capitalization
| Ticker | Company | Market Cap | P/E | EV/EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIG | GigCapital7 Corp. | $24.41B | 46.91x | - |
| APXT | Apex Treasury Corporation Class A | $2.31B | 67.07x | 46.78x |
| SMAP | Amplify Small-Mid Cap Equity ETF | $914M | -240.95x | - |
| CGCT | Cartesian Growth Corporation III | $399M | 57.84x | - |
| ANSC | Agriculture & Natural Solutions Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares | $394M | 60.11x | - |
| GPAT | GP-Act III Acquisition Corp. | $391M | 26.54x | - |
| CUB | Lionheart Holdings | $334M | 27.9x | - |
| FTW | Presidio Production Company | $328M | 48.04x | 47.69x |
| WLAC | Willow Lane Acquisition Corp. | $325M | 2769.12x | - |
| ATII | Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners II Co. Ordinary Shares | $324M | 36.53x | - |
| HYAC | Haymaker Acquisition Corp. III | $318M | 28.29x | - |
| GRAF | Graf Global Corp. | $311M | 38.57x | - |
2 valuation metrics · peer-median based
| Multiple | Current | Peer Median | vs Peers | Implied Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/EPrice paid for current earnings. | 47.45x | 37.55x | Premium +26.37% | $50.39 |
| EV/EBITDAEnterprise value versus operating cash earnings proxy. | 17.98x | 47.69x | Discount -62.3% | $27.65 |
How the model derives the final fair value from peer baselines and quality metrics
Opportunity: The stock is trading at a 77.55% discount to its quality-adjusted fair value of $46.51. To reach its estimated fair value, the stock would need to appreciate by 345.46% from its current price of $10.44.
Quality metrics are stronger than the peer group, justifying a premium.
Quality adjustments are capped at ±15% (up to ±20% for financial services) to prevent runaway premiums. Based on trailing twelve months and multi-year CAGR data where available.
How current multiples rank vs 1 years of the stock’s own history
| Multiple | Current | Historical Median | Percentile | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E1 years of data | 47.45x | 46.45x | 100th | Above historical norm |
Dune Acquisition Corporation II currently trades near the highest valuation levels observed during the last 1 years.
Model-identified caveats to consider
IPOD looks cheap versus peers using L2 fallback peers, with relative upside of 345.5%.
Answers to common questions about IPOD's relative valuation and our methodology.
Dune Acquisition Corporation II's fair value of $46.51 is the price at which the stock would trade if valued at the same multiples as its 15-company peer group, adjusted for differences in business quality. At $10.44, the stock trades at a +345.5% discount to fair value. This is a reference point, not a price target.
Peers were grouped by industry classification and market capitalization. The 15 companies shown are the closest comparable names with clean, usable financial data.
Dune Acquisition Corporation II has strengths in roe, and a quality score that justifies a 15% premium relative to its peer group. The Quality Adjustment section breaks down each driver.
No. This page provides an automated quantitative comparison of Dune Acquisition Corporation II against its peers. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation. Valuation is only one factor in an investment decision — it does not account for growth catalysts, management quality, regulatory risk, or your personal financial situation.
A 345.5% discount is substantial. Large discounts may signal that the market is overlooking value, but they can also reflect genuine business challenges or structural headwinds. Review the Risk Factors and Historical Context sections to assess whether the gap is justified.
Valuation data is refreshed weekly based on the latest financial filings, market prices, and analyst estimates. Dune Acquisition Corporation II's fair value, peer multiples, and quality scores will shift over time as new earnings are reported and stock prices change.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Fair value estimates are model outputs under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.