MODEL VERDICT
Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) — Relative Valuation
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $13.51 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $10.71 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $10.32 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $10.84 | CURRENT | — |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.68 | $12.06 | Pending | -11.4% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 24 analyst estimates | $27.05 | +100.2% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 23 industry peers | $12.69 | -6.1% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV To Revenue 29 industry peers | $66.94 | +395.5% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 29 industry peers | $49.91 | +269.4% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| FCF Yield 23 industry peers | $12.69 | -6.1% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $24.55 | +81.7% | 100% | 72 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 8.05 | 8.67 | 4.39 | 10.48 | 2.67 |
| EV/EBIT | 9.41 | 10.41 | 5.30 | 11.54 | 2.83 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.63 | 9.23 | 4.91 | 9.98 | 2.12 |
| P/FCF | 28.91 | 23.86 | 11.69 | 67.20 | 20.59 |
| P/FFO | 6.57 | 7.09 | 4.01 | 8.07 | 1.77 |
| P/TBV | 2.80 | 2.49 | 1.75 | 5.47 | 1.54 |
| P/AFFO | 7.65 | 8.37 | 4.32 | 9.53 | 2.37 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.89 | 0.69 | 0.40 | 1.95 | 0.59 |
| Div Yield | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.02 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.54 | 0.36 | 0.23 | 0.96 | 0.31 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 13 valuation metrics, the model estimates PSKY's fair value at $24.55 vs the current price of $13.51, implying +81.7% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 72/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $24.55 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $15.26 (P10) to $33.60 (P90), with a median of $24.15.
PSKY's current P/E of -1.4x compares to the industry median of 30.1x (18 peers in the group). This represents a -104.8% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 8.1x over 4 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
29 analysts cover PSKY with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $13.50 (range: $12.00 — $16.00), implying -0.1% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (7), Hold (11), Sell (11), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 72/100, based on: data completeness (15), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (8), and model agreement (4). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for PSKY.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.