Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$781.67
→
Intrinsic$1,196.34
+53%
$850.49$1,196.34$1,884.20
Market implies 4% growth for 5 years
DCF analysis suggests REGN could have 53% upside at 17% growth — verify assumptions match your view.
At $782, the market prices in only 4% growth — below historical 17%, suggesting low expectations.
Range: Bear $850 → Bull $1884. Current price implies expectations below the bear case — very conservative expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 13% | 15% | 17% | 19% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $1456 | $1568 | $1688 | $1817 |
| 10% | $1042 | $1117 | $1196 | $1281 |
| 12% | $824 | $878 | $937 | $999 |
| 14% | $689 | $731 | $777 | $826 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($1884) offers 141% upside at 20% growth, 8% discount
- Price below even worst-case scenario — strong margin of safety
- Market-implied growth (4%) ≤ historical CAGR (17%)
Bear Case
- Bear case ($850) with 13% growth, 12% discount rate
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$4.76B
Year 2$5.56B
Year 3$6.49B
Year 4$7.57B
Year 5$8.84B
Terminal$140.04B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate16.7%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate9.5%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$4.08BTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.