Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE)
Valuation Overview•Is Shoe Station Group Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Fragile underlying quality score of 41/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
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Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant growth concerns.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. This is paired with healthy capital returns, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.
SHOE struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. However, the balance sheet carries elevated leverage, requiring careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-3.5% 3Y CAGR) however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (2.8%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $284.3M | -5.6% | -3.5% | +3.1% | +1.4% | |
| EBITDA | $16.0M | — | -15.9% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $6.3M | -29.1% | -22.0% | — | +6.2% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.23 | -29.1% | -21.7% | +27.7% | +10.0% | |
| Free Cash Flow | $6.5M | -61.7% | — | -12.2% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 34.5% | 35.9% | 36.9% | 33.1% |
| Operating Margin | 2.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% |
| Net Margin | 2.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| FCF Margin | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.20 | $0.23 | +15.0% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.33 | $0.33 | +0.0% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.53 | $0.53 | +0.0% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.55 | $0.70 | +27.3% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.27 | $0.34 | +25.9% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.42 | $0.54 | +28.6% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.71 | $0.71 | +0.0% | ||
| Q3'24 | $0.83 | $0.83 | +0.0% |
Total return is -3.9% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -13.6%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -7.0% | -14.6% | — |
| 1Y | -3.9% | -13.6% | +3.9% |
| 3YCAGR | -10.2% | -29.3% | +7.4% |
| 5YCAGR | -14.3% | -23.7% | +6.4% |
| 10YCAGR | +4.1% | -9.1% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 29.9x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Shoe Station Group Inc. appears Slightly cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
Shoe Station Group Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $18.70 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $23.00 (implying +47.2% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Shoe Station Group Inc. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 41/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 2.6 (grey zone), Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 5.4%.
Shoe Station Group Inc. pays a 4.2% dividend yield, covered by a 32% payout ratio with 14 years of growth, supplemented by a 0.0% buyback yield.
Shoe Station Group Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -5.6% 1Y revenue growth and -29.1% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -3.5%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 15 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 42% of recent quarters with a 1-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +47.2% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Shoe Station Group Inc. include: -32.8% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.86x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.