Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK)
Valuation Overview•Is Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a discount across both intrinsic cash flow and relative peer multiples, indicating a strong margin of safety.
Moderate quality score of 67/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Solid fundamental quality, though growth presents a headwind.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral alongside robust expected earnings growth. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.
TLK exhibits elite business quality, driven by exceptional capital efficiency and highly lucrative margins. This is paired with a moderately leveraged but stable balance sheet.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-0.1% 3Y CAGR) however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. The company maintains healthy operational efficiency with a 22.2% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $37.2T | -2.2% | -0.1% | +1.5% | +3.7% | |
| EBITDA | $17.8T | — | -0.5% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $4.3T | -25.9% | -5.5% | — | +1.2% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $4390.00 | -23.7% | -13.3% | -9.6% | +1.4% | |
| Free Cash Flow | $12.3T | +19.2% | -0.2% | +1.3% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 66.4% | 68.1% | 68.9% | 68.6% |
| Operating Margin | 22.2% | 27.2% | 28.4% | 30.4% |
| Net Margin | 10.9% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 15.2% |
| FCF Margin | 26.8% | 21.8% | 23.6% | 19.9% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.34 | $0.26 | -23.9% | ||
| Q2'26 | $0.34 | $0.12 | -64.9% | ||
| Q2'26 | $0.32 | $0.17 | -45.4% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.32 | $0.32 | +0.0% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.34 | $0.30 | -10.7% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.34 | $0.31 | -8.1% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.37 | $0.38 | +3.4% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.36 | $0.33 | -7.4% |
Total return is -1.6% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -23.8%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -25.8% | -33.1% | — |
| 1Y | -1.6% | -23.8% | +7.7% |
| 3YCAGR | -11.8% | -30.7% | +13.8% |
| 5YCAGR | -2.7% | -13.8% | +24.9% |
| 10YCAGR | -1.7% | -14.6% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.6x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) valuation, health, and returns.
Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk is estimated to be undervalued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers. undervalued (implying +146.0% upside to DCF intrinsic value of $36.60)
Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $36.60 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $276607.57. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk displays good financial health with a composite quality score of 67/100, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 12.9%.
Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk pays a 8.2% dividend yield, covered by a 120% payout ratio with 1 years of growth, supplemented by a 0.0% buyback yield.
Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk's current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -2.2% 1Y revenue growth and -23.7% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -0.1%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 2 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 8% of recent quarters with a -6-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk include: -39.9% 1-year max drawdown, stretched payout ratio. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.71x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.