MODEL VERDICT
Vox Royalty Corp. (VOXR)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.17 | $5.34 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.17 | $5.41 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.17 | $5.65 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.17 | $5.68 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.17 | $5.64 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 7 analyst estimates | $2.62 | -50.9% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 5 industry peers | $2.66 | -50.2% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 4 industry peers | $1.93 | -63.9% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 4 industry peers | $0.78 | -85.4% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 4 industry peers | $2.05 | -61.6% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 6 industry peers | $4.34 | -18.7% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 6 industry peers | $4.21 | -21.2% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| FCF Yield 5 industry peers | $1.98 | -62.9% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $3.45 | -35.5% | 100% | 66 | SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBIT | 113.28 | 99.62 | 28.63 | 211.59 | 92.24 |
| EV/EBITDA | 43.03 | 24.71 | 20.46 | 83.93 | 35.48 |
| P/FFO | 51.23 | 43.62 | 39.46 | 70.62 | 16.92 |
| P/TBV | 3.81 | 2.91 | 2.23 | 5.66 | 1.61 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.54 | 2.80 | 2.17 | 5.05 | 1.35 |
| Div Yield | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| P/S Ratio | 121.08 | 11.67 | 7.89 | 546.58 | 238.00 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 20 valuation metrics, the model estimates VOXR's fair value at $3.45 vs the current price of $5.34, implying -35.5% downside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Overvalued. Confidence: 66/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $3.45 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $2.38 (P10) to $5.00 (P90), with a median of $3.46.
VOXR's current P/E of -162.8x compares to the industry median of 32.1x (4 peers in the group). This represents a -607.0% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
1 analysts cover VOXR with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is N/A (range: N/A — N/A), implying N/A upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (1), Hold (0), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 66/100, based on: data completeness (18), peer quality (25), historical depth (16), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for VOXR.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.