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CRNX vs NVAX
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Biotechnology
CRNX vs NVAX — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Biotechnology |
| Market Cap | $4.55B | $1.50B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $16M | $596M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-496M | $-88M |
| Gross Margin | 101.6% | 84.6% |
| Operating Margin | -34.6% | -11.2% |
| Forward P/E | — | 3.6x |
| Total Debt | $49M | $249M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $102M | $241M |
CRNX vs NVAX — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crinetics Pharmaceu… (CRNX) | 100 | 266.1 | +166.1% |
| Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) | 100 | 20.0 | -80.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CRNX vs NVAX
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CRNX is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 1.36
- Rev growth 6.4%, EPS growth -34.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.6%
- 77.4% 10Y total return vs NVAX's -90.4%
NVAX carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for quality and momentum.
- -14.7% margin vs CRNX's -31.4%
- +55.1% vs CRNX's +38.5%
- -7.4% ROA vs CRNX's -39.5%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 6.4% revenue growth vs NVAX's 64.7% | |
| Quality / Margins | -14.7% margin vs CRNX's -31.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.36 vs NVAX's 2.11 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +55.1% vs CRNX's +38.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -7.4% ROA vs CRNX's -39.5% |
CRNX vs NVAX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CRNX vs NVAX — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — CRNX and NVAX each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NVAX is the larger business by revenue, generating $596M annually — 37.8x CRNX's $16M. NVAX is the more profitable business, keeping -14.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CRNX's -31.4%. On growth, CRNX holds the edge at +28.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $16M | $596M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$543M | -$47M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$496M | -$88M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$420M | -$96M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +101.6% | +84.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -34.6% | -11.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -31.4% | -14.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -26.6% | -16.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +28.7% | -79.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -18.3% | -102.0% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — CRNX and NVAX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.6B | $1.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.5B | $1.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -8.78x | 3.63x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 2.56x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 591.48x | 1.34x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.12x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
NVAX leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NVAX scores 5/9 vs CRNX's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -44.0% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -39.5% | -7.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -37.8% | — |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -42.6% | +100.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.05x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$53M | $8M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $102M | $241M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $49M | $249M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | -5.10x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CRNX leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CRNX five years ago would be worth $25,634 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $524 for NVAX. Over the past 12 months, NVAX leads with a +55.1% total return vs CRNX's +38.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CRNX at 25.4% vs NVAX's 7.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -7.0% | +29.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +38.5% | +55.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +97.3% | +23.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +156.3% | -94.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +77.4% | -90.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +25.4% | +7.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CRNX and NVAX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CRNX is the less volatile stock with a 1.36 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NVAX's 2.11 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.36x | 2.11x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $57.99 | $11.97 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $25.83 | $5.80 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +75.0% | +77.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 62.6 | 64.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.1M | 4.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CRNX as "Buy" and NVAX as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 99.2% upside for CRNX (target: $87) vs 95.0% for NVAX (target: $18).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $86.60 | $18.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 23 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.3% |
NVAX leads in 1 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency). CRNX leads in 1 (Total Returns). 3 tied.
CRNX vs NVAX: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CRNX or NVAX a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(CRNX) is the stronger pick with 640. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 64. 7% for Novavax, Inc. (NVAX). Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) offers the better valuation at 3. 6x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (CRNX) a "Buy" — based on 18 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — CRNX or NVAX?
Over the past 5 years, Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(CRNX) delivered a total return of +156. 3%, compared to -94. 8% for Novavax, Inc. (NVAX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CRNX returned +77. 4% versus NVAX's -90. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — CRNX or NVAX?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(CRNX) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 36β versus Novavax, Inc. 's 2. 11β — meaning NVAX is approximately 55% more volatile than CRNX relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — CRNX or NVAX?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(CRNX) is pulling ahead at 640. 7% versus 64. 7% for Novavax, Inc. (NVAX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Novavax, Inc. grew EPS 306. 5% year-over-year, compared to -34. 1% for Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CRNX leads at 17. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — CRNX or NVAX?
Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is the more profitable company, earning 39. 2% net margin versus -60. 5% for Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — meaning it keeps 39. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NVAX leads at 50. 1% versus -67. 1% for CRNX. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NVAX leads at 93. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — CRNX or NVAX?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is CRNX or NVAX better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(CRNX) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) carries a higher beta of 2. 11 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CRNX: +77. 4%, NVAX: -90. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between CRNX and NVAX?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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