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VEL vs ESNT vs NMIH vs PFSI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Specialty
Insurance - Specialty
Financial - Mortgages
VEL vs ESNT vs NMIH vs PFSI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Mortgages | Insurance - Specialty | Insurance - Specialty | Financial - Mortgages |
| Market Cap | $718M | $6.00B | $2.94B | $4.62B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $714M | $1.31B | $706M | $4.36B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $108M | $703M | $389M | $507M |
| Gross Margin | 95.3% | 89.7% | 91.8% | 91.4% |
| Operating Margin | 71.6% | 63.6% | 70.8% | 34.6% |
| Forward P/E | 6.6x | 8.7x | 7.5x | 7.2x |
| Total Debt | $6.54B | $494M | $417M | $23.06B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $92M | $131M | $44M | $302M |
VEL vs ESNT vs NMIH vs PFSI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Velocity Financial,… (VEL) | 100 | 470.2 | +370.2% |
| Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT) | 100 | 186.4 | +86.4% |
| NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH) | 100 | 251.1 | +151.1% |
| PennyMac Financial … (PFSI) | 100 | 264.0 | +164.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: VEL vs ESNT vs NMIH vs PFSI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
VEL has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in value and momentum.
- Lower P/E (6.6x vs 7.2x)
- +9.4% vs PFSI's -8.0%
ESNT is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.38, yield 1.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.38, Low D/E 8.8%
- Beta 0.38, yield 1.8%
- Beta 0.38 vs PFSI's 0.93, lower leverage
NMIH is the clearest fit if your priority is valuation efficiency.
- PEG 0.41 vs ESNT's 2.23
- 55.1% margin vs PFSI's 11.5%
- 10.6% ROA vs VEL's 1.5%, ROIC 13.5% vs 6.1%
PFSI is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 173.8%, EPS growth 59.2%
- 6.0% 10Y total return vs NMIH's 5.1%
- 173.8% NII/revenue growth vs NMIH's 8.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 173.8% NII/revenue growth vs NMIH's 8.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.6x vs 7.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 55.1% margin vs PFSI's 11.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.38 vs PFSI's 0.93, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.8% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs PFSI's 1.3%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +9.4% vs PFSI's -8.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.6% ROA vs VEL's 1.5%, ROIC 13.5% vs 6.1% |
VEL vs ESNT vs NMIH vs PFSI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
Segment breakdown not available.
VEL vs ESNT vs NMIH vs PFSI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
NMIH leads in 2 of 6 categories
VEL leads 2 • ESNT leads 2 • PFSI leads 0
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NMIH leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PFSI is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.4B annually — 6.2x NMIH's $706M. NMIH is the more profitable business, keeping 55.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to PFSI's 11.5%. On growth, NMIH holds the edge at +8.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $714M | $1.3B | $706M | $4.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $273M | $838M | $516M | $1.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $108M | $703M | $389M | $507M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $26M | $837M | $413M | -$3.8B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +95.3% | +89.7% | +91.8% | +91.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +71.6% | +63.6% | +70.8% | +34.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +14.7% | +53.7% | +55.1% | +11.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +2.5% | +64.0% | +58.4% | -32.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +0.7% | +8.4% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.8% | +1.2% | +12.1% | +7.7% |
Valuation Metrics
VEL leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 6.7x trailing earnings, VEL trades at a 30% valuation discount to PFSI's 9.5x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), NMIH offers better value at 0.43x vs ESNT's 2.31x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $718M | $6.0B | $2.9B | $4.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $7.2B | $6.4B | $3.3B | $27.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 6.65x | 8.99x | 7.84x | 9.53x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 6.60x | 8.68x | 7.52x | 7.17x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 2.31x | 0.43x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.95x | 7.39x | 6.27x | 18.11x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.00x | 4.74x | 4.16x | 1.06x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.03x | 1.17x | 1.18x | 1.11x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 40.13x | 7.03x | 7.12x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
NMIH leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
VEL delivers a 16.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $17 in annual profit, vs $12 for PFSI. ESNT carries lower financial leverage with a 0.09x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to VEL's 9.68x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), VEL scores 6/9 vs PFSI's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +16.6% | +12.2% | +15.8% | +12.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.5% | +9.6% | +10.6% | +1.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.1% | +11.3% | +13.5% | +4.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.6% | +12.6% | +15.0% | +10.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 9.68x | 0.09x | 0.16x | 5.35x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $6.4B | $362M | $373M | $22.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $92M | $131M | $44M | $302M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6.5B | $494M | $417M | $23.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.07x | 26.45x | 18.55x | 1.35x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
VEL leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PFSI five years ago would be worth $16,366 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $13,421 for ESNT. Over the past 12 months, VEL leads with a +9.4% total return vs PFSI's -8.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors VEL at 27.2% vs ESNT's 14.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -6.4% | -4.2% | -5.0% | -32.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +9.4% | +7.7% | +0.9% | -8.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +105.7% | +51.0% | +60.9% | +59.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +46.3% | +34.2% | +61.4% | +63.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +35.4% | +226.7% | +505.7% | +603.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +27.2% | +14.7% | +17.2% | +16.8% |
Risk & Volatility
ESNT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ESNT is the less volatile stock with a 0.38 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than PFSI's 0.93 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ESNT currently trades 91.8% from its 52-week high vs PFSI's 55.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.42x | 0.38x | 0.45x | 0.93x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $21.39 | $67.09 | $43.20 | $160.36 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $16.18 | $55.22 | $34.84 | $82.67 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +85.5% | +91.8% | +89.3% | +55.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.1 | 50.5 | 45.2 | 40.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 99K | 637K | 443K | 604K |
Analyst Outlook
ESNT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: VEL as "Buy", ESNT as "Buy", NMIH as "Buy", PFSI as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 61.3% upside for PFSI (target: $143) vs 12.6% for ESNT (target: $69). For income investors, ESNT offers the higher dividend yield at 1.80% vs PFSI's 1.31%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $23.00 | $69.33 | $43.50 | $143.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 7 | 19 | 20 | 20 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.8% | — | +1.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 6 | — | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.11 | — | $1.16 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.0% | +1.9% | +3.6% | +0.1% |
NMIH leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). VEL leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns).
VEL vs ESNT vs NMIH vs PFSI: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is VEL or ESNT or NMIH or PFSI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.
(PFSI) is the stronger pick with 173. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 8. 4% for NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH). Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) offers the better valuation at 6. 7x trailing P/E (6. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) a "Buy" — based on 7 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — VEL or ESNT or NMIH or PFSI?
On trailing P/E, Velocity Financial, Inc.
(VEL) is the cheapest at 6. 7x versus PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. at 9. 5x. On forward P/E, Velocity Financial, Inc. is actually cheaper at 6. 6x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: NMI Holdings, Inc. wins at 0. 41x versus Essent Group Ltd. 's 2. 23x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — VEL or ESNT or NMIH or PFSI?
Over the past 5 years, PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.
(PFSI) delivered a total return of +63. 7%, compared to +34. 2% for Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PFSI returned +603. 4% versus VEL's +35. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — VEL or ESNT or NMIH or PFSI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Essent Group Ltd.
(ESNT) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 38β versus PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. 's 0. 93β — meaning PFSI is approximately 145% more volatile than ESNT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 9% versus 10% for Velocity Financial, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — VEL or ESNT or NMIH or PFSI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.
(PFSI) is pulling ahead at 173. 8% versus 8. 4% for NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. grew EPS 59. 2% year-over-year, compared to 5. 4% for Essent Group Ltd.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NMIH leads at 10. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — VEL or ESNT or NMIH or PFSI?
Essent Group Ltd.
(ESNT) is the more profitable company, earning 57. 6% net margin versus 11. 5% for PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. — meaning it keeps 57. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: VEL leads at 71. 6% versus 34. 6% for PFSI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — VEL leads at 95. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is VEL or ESNT or NMIH or PFSI more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 41x versus Essent Group Ltd. 's 2. 23x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) trades at 6. 6x forward P/E versus 8. 7x for Essent Group Ltd. — 2. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for PFSI: 61. 3% to $143. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — VEL or ESNT or NMIH or PFSI?
In this comparison, ESNT (1.
8% yield), PFSI (1. 3% yield) pay a dividend. VEL, NMIH do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is VEL or ESNT or NMIH or PFSI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Essent Group Ltd.
(ESNT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 38), 1. 8% yield, +226. 7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ESNT: +226. 7%, VEL: +35. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between VEL and ESNT and NMIH and PFSI?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: VEL is a small-cap high-growth stock; ESNT is a small-cap deep-value stock; NMIH is a small-cap deep-value stock; PFSI is a small-cap high-growth stock. ESNT, PFSI pay a dividend while VEL, NMIH do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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