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WTFC vs ICE vs NDAQ vs MCO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
WTFC vs ICE vs NDAQ vs MCO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Banks - Regional | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges |
| Market Cap | $10.13B | $88.45B | $50.59B | $81.04B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.23B | $12.64B | $8.22B | $7.72B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $824M | $3.30B | $1.91B | $2.50B |
| Gross Margin | 62.2% | 61.9% | 47.9% | 68.2% |
| Operating Margin | 26.4% | 38.7% | 28.4% | 44.8% |
| Forward P/E | 11.6x | 19.5x | 22.6x | 27.4x |
| Total Debt | $4.48B | $20.28B | $9.93B | $7.35B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $468M | $837M | $814M | $2.38B |
WTFC vs ICE vs NDAQ vs MCO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wintrust Financial … (WTFC) | 100 | 356.9 | +256.9% |
| Intercontinental Ex… (ICE) | 100 | 160.6 | +60.6% |
| Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) | 100 | 225.4 | +125.4% |
| Moody's Corporation (MCO) | 100 | 170.9 | +70.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: WTFC vs ICE vs NDAQ vs MCO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
WTFC is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if valuation efficiency is your priority.
- PEG 0.59 vs MCO's 3.51
- Lower P/E (11.6x vs 27.4x), PEG 0.59 vs 3.51
- +34.0% vs ICE's -10.4%
ICE is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 14 yrs, beta 0.33, yield 1.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.33, Low D/E 69.9%, current ratio 1.02x
- Beta 0.33, yield 1.2%, current ratio 1.02x
- Beta 0.33 vs WTFC's 1.16
NDAQ carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 11.1%, EPS growth 60.1%
- 347.6% 10Y total return vs MCO's 409.5%
- 11.1% NII/revenue growth vs WTFC's 6.7%
- Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs WTFC's 0.4% (lower = leaner)
MCO lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 11.1% NII/revenue growth vs WTFC's 6.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (11.6x vs 27.4x), PEG 0.59 vs 3.51 | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs WTFC's 0.4% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.33 vs WTFC's 1.16 | |
| Dividends | 1.2% yield, 14-year raise streak, vs MCO's 0.9%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +34.0% vs ICE's -10.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs WTFC's 0.4% |
WTFC vs ICE vs NDAQ vs MCO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
WTFC vs ICE vs NDAQ vs MCO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
MCO leads in 2 of 6 categories
WTFC leads 2 • ICE leads 0 • NDAQ leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCO leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ICE is the larger business by revenue, generating $12.6B annually — 3.0x WTFC's $4.2B. MCO is the more profitable business, keeping 31.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to WTFC's 19.5%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.2B | $12.6B | $8.2B | $7.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.2B | $6.5B | $3.1B | $4.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $824M | $3.3B | $1.9B | $2.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $915M | $4.3B | $2.0B | $3.0B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +62.2% | +61.9% | +47.9% | +68.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +26.4% | +38.7% | +28.4% | +44.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +19.5% | +26.1% | +21.8% | +31.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +21.5% | +33.9% | +24.2% | +33.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +25.5% | +23.1% | +33.8% | +7.8% |
Valuation Metrics
WTFC leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 13.1x trailing earnings, WTFC trades at a 61% valuation discount to MCO's 33.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), WTFC offers better value at 0.66x vs MCO's 4.29x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $10.1B | $88.4B | $50.6B | $81.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $14.1B | $107.9B | $59.7B | $86.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 13.08x | 27.06x | 28.80x | 33.44x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 11.62x | 19.48x | 22.65x | 27.37x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.66x | 3.05x | 2.70x | 4.29x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.71x | 16.71x | 20.14x | 21.86x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.39x | 7.00x | 6.16x | 10.50x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.41x | 3.08x | 4.19x | 19.56x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 11.12x | 20.62x | 25.44x | 31.47x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MCO leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MCO delivers a 64.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $64 in annual profit, vs $11 for WTFC. WTFC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.62x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MCO's 1.75x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ICE scores 9/9 vs WTFC's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +11.3% | +11.6% | +15.9% | +64.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.2% | +2.3% | +6.4% | +16.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.5% | +7.5% | +8.1% | +22.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.4% | +9.5% | +10.2% | +27.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.62x | 0.70x | 0.81x | 1.75x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.0B | $19.4B | $9.1B | $5.0B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $468M | $837M | $814M | $2.4B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.5B | $20.3B | $9.9B | $7.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.74x | 6.53x | 14.11x | 17.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
WTFC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in WTFC five years ago would be worth $20,287 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,141 for MCO. Over the past 12 months, WTFC leads with a +34.0% total return vs ICE's -10.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors WTFC at 35.3% vs ICE's 14.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +6.4% | -2.1% | -7.6% | -8.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +34.0% | -10.4% | +14.6% | -1.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +147.6% | +50.8% | +67.4% | +52.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +102.9% | +43.4% | +70.4% | +41.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +224.8% | +225.3% | +347.6% | +409.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +35.3% | +14.7% | +18.7% | +15.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — WTFC and ICE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ICE is the less volatile stock with a 0.33 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than WTFC's 1.16 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. WTFC currently trades 92.8% from its 52-week high vs ICE's 82.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.16x | 0.33x | 0.78x | 0.86x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $162.96 | $189.35 | $101.79 | $546.88 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $113.75 | $143.17 | $77.09 | $402.28 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +92.8% | +82.5% | +87.4% | +83.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 63.5 | 38.8 | 52.6 | 48.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 438K | 3.0M | 3.3M | 1.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ICE and MCO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: WTFC as "Buy", ICE as "Buy", NDAQ as "Buy", MCO as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 28.8% upside for NDAQ (target: $115) vs 15.5% for WTFC (target: $175). For income investors, ICE offers the higher dividend yield at 1.24% vs MCO's 0.85%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $174.57 | $195.71 | $114.60 | $544.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 22 | 36 | 36 | 32 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.2% | +1.2% | +0.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 13 | 14 | 13 | 22 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.93 | $1.04 | $3.90 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.6% | +1.2% | +2.1% |
MCO leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). WTFC leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 2 tied.
WTFC vs ICE vs NDAQ vs MCO: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is WTFC or ICE or NDAQ or MCO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Nasdaq, Inc.
(NDAQ) is the stronger pick with 11. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 6. 7% for Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC). Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC) offers the better valuation at 13. 1x trailing P/E (11. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC) a "Buy" — based on 22 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — WTFC or ICE or NDAQ or MCO?
On trailing P/E, Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC) is the cheapest at 13.
1x versus Moody's Corporation at 33. 4x. On forward P/E, Wintrust Financial Corporation is actually cheaper at 11. 6x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Wintrust Financial Corporation wins at 0. 59x versus Moody's Corporation's 3. 51x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — WTFC or ICE or NDAQ or MCO?
Over the past 5 years, Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC) delivered a total return of +102.
9%, compared to +41. 4% for Moody's Corporation (MCO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MCO returned +409. 5% versus WTFC's +224. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — WTFC or ICE or NDAQ or MCO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
(ICE) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 33β versus Wintrust Financial Corporation's 1. 16β — meaning WTFC is approximately 255% more volatile than ICE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 62% versus 175% for Moody's Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — WTFC or ICE or NDAQ or MCO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Nasdaq, Inc.
(NDAQ) is pulling ahead at 11. 1% versus 6. 7% for Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Nasdaq, Inc. grew EPS 60. 1% year-over-year, compared to 12. 1% for Wintrust Financial Corporation. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — WTFC or ICE or NDAQ or MCO?
Moody's Corporation (MCO) is the more profitable company, earning 31.
9% net margin versus 19. 5% for Wintrust Financial Corporation — meaning it keeps 31. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MCO leads at 44. 8% versus 26. 4% for WTFC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MCO leads at 68. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is WTFC or ICE or NDAQ or MCO more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 59x versus Moody's Corporation's 3. 51x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC) trades at 11. 6x forward P/E versus 27. 4x for Moody's Corporation — 15. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NDAQ: 28. 8% to $114. 60.
08Which pays a better dividend — WTFC or ICE or NDAQ or MCO?
In this comparison, ICE (1.
2% yield), NDAQ (1. 2% yield), MCO (0. 9% yield) pay a dividend. WTFC does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is WTFC or ICE or NDAQ or MCO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
(ICE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 33), 1. 2% yield, +225. 3% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ICE: +225. 3%, WTFC: +224. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between WTFC and ICE and NDAQ and MCO?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: WTFC is a mid-cap deep-value stock; ICE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; NDAQ is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; MCO is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. ICE, NDAQ, MCO pay a dividend while WTFC does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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