Accelerant Holdings (ARX) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 9 analysts40.1% Below Target
ARX trades 40.1% below Wall Street's consensus target of $18.20.
Current Price$12.89
Average Target$18.20
Target
Current
Low$16.00
Median$19.00
High$20.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E17.5x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+112.0%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread22.0%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes ARX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 17.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
ARX Price Target Analysis
Updated June 23, 2026As of June 23, 2026, Accelerant Holdings (ARX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $18.20, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $12.89, this represents a potential upside of +40.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.81B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $16.00 to a high of $20.00, representing a 22% spread in expectations. The median target of $19.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 8 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, ARX trades at a trailing P/E of -1.7x and forward P/E of 17.5x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +112.0% over the next year.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+16.8%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
11.4x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KNSLKinsale Capital Group, Inc. | $6.8B | $295.05 | $433.00 | +40.2% | Hold | 14.9x | 13 |
 RYANRyan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | $4.3B | $33.26 | $38.38 | +9.8% | Hold | 17.1x | 19 |
 ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. | $32.8B | $92.04 | $102.57 | +12.5% | Buy | 9.8x | 34 |
 RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | $13.0B | $300.93 | $310.75 | +3.9% | Hold | 7.3x | 28 |
 HCIHCI Group, Inc. | $2.2B | $167.42 | $126.50 | -22.7% | Buy | 9.4x | 14 |
 HRTGHeritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. | $722M | $23.79 | $36.00 | +54.7% | Buy | 5.4x | 9 |
 NODKNI Holdings, Inc. | $322M | $15.73 | — | — | — | — | — |
 PLMRPalomar Holdings, Inc. | $3.0B | $111.58 | $110.25 | -1.3% | Buy | 11.4x | 11 |
 SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | $2.3B | $50.82 | $67.33 | +33.2% | Buy | 10.3x | 11 |
 MMCMarsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. | $85.3B | $174.06 | $210.40 | +20.9% | Hold | 16.9x | 26 |
ARX — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ARX stock.
What is the ARX stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for ARX is $18.2, representing 40.1% upside from the current price of $12.89. With 9 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is ARX a buy, sell, or hold?
ARX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 8 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $18.2 implies 40.1% upside from current levels.
Is ARX stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 17.5422x, ARX trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $18.2 implies 40.1% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can ARX stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $20 for ARX, while the most conservative target is $16. The consensus of $18.2 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover ARX stock?
ARX is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the ARX stock forecast?
The 12-month ARX stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $18.2, with estimates ranging from $16 (bear case) to $20 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy".
What is ARX's forward P/E ratio?
ARX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy ARX stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on ARX, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $18.2 price target (40.1% upside). 8 of 9 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do ARX price targets vary so much?
ARX analyst price targets range from $16 to $20, a 22% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $18.2 consensus represents the middle ground.
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