ARX trades 10.0% above Wall Street's consensus target of $17.75.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes ARX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 22.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 10 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, Accelerant Holdings (ARX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $17.75, based on estimates from 10 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $19.73, this represents a potential downside of -10.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.31B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $14.00 to a high of $20.25, representing a 35% spread in expectations. The median target of $18.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, ARX trades at a trailing P/E of -2.6x and forward P/E of 22.1x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +115.2% over the next year.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KNSLKinsale Capital Group, Inc. | $7.5B | $329.72 | $447.80 | +35.8% | Hold | 15.5x | 13 |
 RYANRyan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | $10.5B | $37.67 | $47.78 | +26.8% | Buy | 17.4x | 19 |
 ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. | $32.7B | $93.60 | $113.50 | +21.3% | Buy | 9.9x | 34 |
 RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | $13.5B | $325.53 | $336.38 | +3.3% | Hold | 7.4x | 28 |
 HCIHCI Group, Inc. | $2.4B | $184.25 | $230.00 | +24.8% | Buy | 9.6x | 14 |
 HRTGHeritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. | $1.0B | $33.99 | $36.50 | +7.4% | Buy | 6.4x | 9 |
 NODKNI Holdings, Inc. | $307M | $14.99 | — | — | — | — | — |
 PLMRPalomar Holdings, Inc. | $3.4B | $126.49 | $158.50 | +25.3% | Buy | 12.6x | 11 |
 SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | $2.2B | $55.01 | $66.33 | +20.6% | Buy | 10.9x | 12 |
 MMCMarsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. | $85.3B | $174.06 | $199.40 | +14.6% | Hold | 16.9x | 26 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ARX stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for ARX is $17.75, -10.0% from its current price of $19.73. The below-market target from 10 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
ARX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 10 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $17.75 implies -10.0% downside from current levels.
ARX trades at a forward P/E of 22.1064x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $17.75 (-10.0% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $20.25 for ARX, while the most conservative target is $14. The consensus of $17.75 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
ARX is moderately covered, with 10 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month ARX stock forecast based on 10 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $17.75, with estimates ranging from $14 (bear case) to $20.25 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy".
ARX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on ARX, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $17.75 (-10.0% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ARX analyst price targets range from $14 to $20.25, a 35% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $17.75 consensus represents the middle ground.
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