Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 13 analysts40.2% Below Target
KNSL trades 40.2% below Wall Street's consensus target of $433.00.
Current Price$308.85
Average Target$433.00
Low$433.00
Median$433.00
High$433.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E14.9x
(Value)
PEG Ratio0.36
(Undervalued)
Implied Growth—
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes KNSL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 14.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 13 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
KNSL Price Target Analysis
Updated June 22, 2026As of June 22, 2026, Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $433.00, based on estimates from 13 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $308.85, this represents a potential upside of +40.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $7.15B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $433.00 to a high of $433.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $433.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,8 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, KNSL trades at a trailing P/E of 14.3x and forward P/E of 14.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.36 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $348.50, with bear and bull scenarios of $219.56 and $459.19 respectively. Model confidence stands at 72/100, indicating high predictability in the company's fundamentals.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+19.9%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
11.1x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. | $32.5B | $91.18 | $102.57 | +12.5% | Buy | 9.8x | 34 |
 RLIRLI Corp. | $4.9B | $53.09 | $56.33 | +6.1% | Hold | 19.2x | 12 |
 JRVRJames River Group Holdings, Ltd. | $182M | $3.95 | $5.88 | +48.9% | Hold | 4.7x | 14 |
 SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | $2.3B | $50.56 | $67.33 | +33.2% | Buy | 10.3x | 11 |
 HRTGHeritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. | $706M | $23.27 | $36.00 | +54.7% | Buy | 5.4x | 9 |
 AIGAmerican International Group, Inc. | $39.7B | $74.02 | $85.71 | +15.8% | Hold | 9.2x | 41 |
 MKLMarkel Corporation | $23.1B | $1847.16 | $1950.00 | +5.6% | Hold | 16.6x | 15 |
 WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation | $25.2B | $67.18 | $69.10 | +2.9% | Hold | 14.3x | 30 |
 HIGThe Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. | $35.3B | $128.25 | $151.56 | +18.2% | Buy | 10.0x | 42 |
 CNACNA Financial Corporation | $12.0B | $44.52 | $45.00 | +1.1% | Hold | 11.1x | 7 |
KNSL — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying KNSL stock.
What is the KNSL stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for KNSL is $433, representing 40.2% upside from the current price of $308.85. With 13 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is KNSL a buy, sell, or hold?
KNSL has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 13 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 8 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $433 implies 40.2% upside from current levels.
Is KNSL stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 14.8736x, KNSL trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $433 implies 40.2% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can KNSL stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $433 for KNSL, while the most conservative target is $433. The consensus of $433 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $459 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover KNSL stock?
KNSL is moderately covered, with 13 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 8 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the KNSL stock forecast?
The 12-month KNSL stock forecast based on 13 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $433, with estimates ranging from $433 (bear case) to $433 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $349, with bear/bull scenarios of $220/$459.
What is KNSL's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates KNSL's fair value at $349 (base case), with a bear case of $220 and bull case of $459. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 72/100.
What is KNSL's forward P/E ratio?
KNSL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 14.3x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy KNSL stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on KNSL, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $433 price target (40.2% upside). 3 of 13 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do KNSL price targets vary so much?
KNSL analyst price targets range from $433 to $433, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $433 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $220-$459 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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