Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 9 analysts54.7% Below Target
HRTG trades 54.7% below Wall Street's consensus target of $36.00.
Current Price$23.27
Average Target$36.00
Low$36.00
Median$36.00
High$36.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E5.4x
(Value)
PEG Ratio0.07
(Undervalued)
Implied Growth-34.4%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes HRTG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 5.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
HRTG Price Target Analysis
Updated June 22, 2026As of June 22, 2026, Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $36.00, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $23.27, this represents a potential upside of +54.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $706M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $36.00 to a high of $36.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $36.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, HRTG trades at a trailing P/E of 3.7x and forward P/E of 5.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.07 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -34.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $49.77, with bear and bull scenarios of $31.35 and $65.57 respectively. Model confidence stands at 47/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+11.3%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
13.4x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
8 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
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 RLIRLI Corp. | $4.9B | $53.09 | $56.33 | +6.1% | Hold | 19.2x | 12 |
 RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | $12.9B | $299.17 | $310.75 | +3.9% | Hold | 7.3x | 28 |
 VRSKVerisk Analytics, Inc. | $22.8B | $173.80 | $226.11 | +30.1% | Hold | 22.7x | 25 |
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 FAFFirst American Financial Corporation | $7.0B | $68.63 | $83.00 | +20.9% | Buy | 10.2x | 15 |
HRTG — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying HRTG stock.
What is the HRTG stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for HRTG is $36, representing 54.7% upside from the current price of $23.27. With 9 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is HRTG a buy, sell, or hold?
HRTG has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $36 implies 54.7% upside from current levels.
Is HRTG stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 5.4116x, HRTG trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $36 implies 54.7% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can HRTG stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $36 for HRTG, while the most conservative target is $36. The consensus of $36 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $66 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover HRTG stock?
HRTG is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the HRTG stock forecast?
The 12-month HRTG stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $36, with estimates ranging from $36 (bear case) to $36 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $50, with bear/bull scenarios of $31/$66.
What is HRTG's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates HRTG's fair value at $50 (base case), with a bear case of $31 and bull case of $66. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 47/100.
What is HRTG's forward P/E ratio?
HRTG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 3.7x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy HRTG stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on HRTG, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $36 price target (54.7% upside). 5 of 9 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do HRTG price targets vary so much?
HRTG analyst price targets range from $36 to $36, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $36 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $31-$66 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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