Upside case
Bull case
$39-82.3%
The bull case requires both strong earnings delivery and the market pricing BA more generously than it does today.
Analysis OverviewBuyUpdated Jun 18, 2026
The Boeing Company (BA) Stock Analysis
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Analyst consensus
Buy
Covering
54
analysts
36 bullish · 5 bearish · 54 covering BA
Strong Buy
0
Buy
36
Hold
13
Sell
5
Strong Sell
0
Consensus Target
$282
+26.4% vs today
Scenario Range
$19 – $39
Model bear to bull value window
Coverage
54
Published analyst ratings
Valuation Context
—
Forward P/E · Market cap $175.6B
BA price targets
Three scenarios for where BA stock could go
Current
~$223
Confidence
46 / 100
Updated
Jun 18, 2026
Where we are now
Current · $223
Bear
$19
Base
$30
Bull
$39
Market caseClosest to today
Base case
$30-86.6%
The base case reflects analyst consensus expectations — steady delivery without requiring a major catalyst or re-rating.
Stress case
Bear case
$19-91.5%
The bear case assumes sentiment or fundamentals disappoint enough to push BA down roughly 92% from the current price.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.
The Boeing Company
BA · NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseDecember year-end
Boeing is a global aerospace company that designs, manufactures, and services commercial airplanes, defense systems, and space technologies. It generates revenue primarily from commercial aircraft sales (~40% of revenue), defense and space contracts (~35%), and a growing global services segment (~25%) that provides maintenance, upgrades, and logistics support. The company's competitive advantage lies in its massive scale, deep government relationships, and high barriers to entry in aerospace manufacturing—where development costs are enormous and certification processes are extremely complex.
Market Cap
$175.6B
Revenue TTM
$92.2B
Net Income TTM
$2.3B
Net Margin
2.5%
BA Revenue and Earnings Performance
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
EPS Beat Rate
58%Exceptional
12 quarters tracked
Revenue Beat Rate
83%Exceptional
vs consensus estimates
Avg EPS Surprise
+185.0%
above Street consensus
Beat / Miss Record
BeatMissLeft = EPS · Right = Revenue
Q3 2025
Q4 2025
Q1 2026
Q2 2026
Last 4 Quarters
EPS beats: 3 of 4Q3 2025
EPS
$-1.24/$-1.40
Revenue
$22.7B/$22.2B
Q4 2025
EPS
$-7.47/$-5.16
Revenue
$23.3B/$22.1B
Q1 2026
EPS
$9.92/$-0.44
Revenue
$23.9B/$22.6B
Q2 2026
EPS
$-0.20/$-0.68
Revenue
$22.2B/$21.9B
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $-1.24/$-1.40 | +11.4% | $22.7B/$22.2B | +2.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $-7.47/$-5.16 | -44.8% | $23.3B/$22.1B | +5.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.92/$-0.44 | +2362.1% | $23.9B/$22.6B | +6.0% |
| Q2 2026 | $-0.20/$-0.68 | +70.8% | $22.2B/$21.9B | +1.7% |
FY1–FY2 Estimates
Revenue Outlook
FY1
$99.4B
+7.8% YoY
FY2
$109.8B
+10.4% YoY
EPS Outlook
FY1
$-0.08
-102.9% YoY
FY2
$0.67
+938.3% YoY
Trailing FCF (TTM)-$1.0B
FCF Margin: -1.1%
Next Earnings
July 28, 2026
Expected EPS
$-0.23
Expected Revenue
$23.9B
BA beat EPS estimates in 3 of 4 tracked quarters. A strong delivery record supports forward estimate credibility.
BA Revenue Breakdown by Segment
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest disclosure
FY 2025
Total disclosed revenue $41.5B
Product Mix
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Commercial Airplanes Segment
100.0%
+81.5% YoY
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Geographic Mix
Latest annual revenue by reported region
UNITED STATES
37.2%
+32.9% YoY
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Commercial Airplanes Segment is the largest disclosed segment at 100.0% of FY 2025 revenue, up 81.5% YoY.
UNITED STATES is the largest reported region at 37.2%, up 32.9% YoY.
BA Valuation Snapshot
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Relative Value Signal
Limited: Expensive versus peers
Fair value est. $61 — implies -72.8% from today's price.
Premium to Fair Value
72.8%
above fair value
Deep DiscountFair ValueVery Expensive
vs S&P 500 Trailing P/E
BA
89.8x
vs
S&P 500
24.4x
+267% premium
vs Industrials Trailing P/E
BA
89.8x
vs
Industrials
25.6x
+251% premium
vs BA 5Y Avg P/E
Today
89.8x
vs
5Y Average
87.5x
In line with benchmark
Forward PE
—
S&P 500
18.8x
—
Industrials
21.2x
—
5Y Avg
—
—
Trailing PE
89.8x
S&P 500
24.4x
+267%
Industrials
25.6x
+251%
5Y Avg
87.5x
+3%
PEG Ratio
—
S&P 500
1.66x
—
Industrials
1.65x
—
5Y Avg
—
—
EV/EBITDA
—
S&P 500
15.2x
—
Industrials
13.9x
—
5Y Avg
76.4x
—
Price/FCF
—
S&P 500
20.7x
—
Industrials
20.0x
—
5Y Avg
42.6x
—
Price/Sales
2.0x
S&P 500
3.1x
-37%
Industrials
1.6x
+26%
5Y Avg
1.8x
+7%
Dividend Yield
0.19%
S&P 500
1.91%
-90%
Industrials
1.21%
-84%
5Y Avg
0.20%
-3%
| Metric | BA | S&P 500 | Industrials | 5Y Avg BA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | — | 18.8x | 21.2x | — |
| Trailing PE | 89.8x | 24.4x+267% | 25.6x+251% | 87.5x |
| PEG Ratio | — | 1.66x | 1.65x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 15.2x | 13.9x | 76.4x |
| Price/FCF | — | 20.7x | 20.0x | 42.6x |
| Price/Sales | 2.0x | 3.1x-37% | 1.6x+26% | 1.8x |
| Dividend Yield | 0.19% | 1.91% | 1.21% | 0.20% |
BA trades above S&P 500 benchmarks on 1 of 2 measured multiples — is elevated on some multiples, but competitive on others — a mixed valuation picture.
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolBA Financial Health
Verdict
Adequate
Key financial metrics for BA are shown below.
Cash Engine
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
Revenue (TTM)
Trailing-twelve-month sales base
$92.2B
Revenue Growth
TTM vs prior year
+32.7%
Gross Margin
Gross profit as a share of revenue
4.8%
Operating Margin
Operating income divided by revenue
-5.9%
Net Margin
Net income divided by revenue
2.5%
EPS (TTM)
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months
$2.77
Free Cash Flow (TTM)
Cash generation after capex
-$1.0B
FCF Margin
FCF as share of revenue — the primary cash quality signal
-1.1%
Capital Quality
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
ROIC
Return on invested capital — primary competitive quality signal
-9.5%
ROA
Return on assets, trailing twelve months
1.4%
Cash & Equivalents
Liquid assets on the balance sheet
$10.9B
Net Debt
Total debt minus cash
$43.5B
Debt Serviceability
Net debt as a multiple of annual free cash flow
—
ROE
Return on equity, trailing twelve months
—
Shareholder Returns
How capital is returned to owners
Total shareholder yield
0.2%
Dividend
0.2%
Buyback
0.0%
Share Repurchases
Trailing buyback outflow — dollar magnitude of capital returned
$0
Dividend / Share
Annualized trailing dividend per share
$0.43
Payout Ratio
Share of earnings distributed as dividends
—
Shares Outstanding
Current diluted share count
788M
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageBA Stock Risk Factors
Key factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated June 17, 2026
High Risk
Safety and Manufacturing Crises
Boeing has faced high-profile safety crises and manufacturing lapses, including the global grounding of the 737 MAX, which have severely impacted its reputation and operations.
High Risk
Leadership and Strategy Uncertainty
The company has experienced leadership churn and strategic shifts, including a retreat from outsourcing, creating uncertainty about its long-term direction.
High Risk
Operational and Financial Turnaround
Despite a $682 billion backlog and recent positive free cash flow, Boeing's ability to sustain a full operational and financial turnaround remains unproven.
Medium
Labor and Supply Chain Challenges
Boeing continues to face debilitating labor issues and supply chain disruptions, which could hinder production ramp-ups and delivery timelines.
Medium
Market and Demand Volatility
Pandemic-induced travel halts and fluctuating demand for commercial airplanes pose ongoing risks to Boeing's revenue stability.
Lower
Regulatory and Compliance Risks
As a global aerospace leader, Boeing is subject to stringent regulatory scrutiny, which could lead to additional compliance costs or operational constraints.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Why BA Stock Could Outperform
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated June 17, 2026
Strong analyst consensus
Boeing has a Buy rating from 54 analysts with a consensus target price of $282, representing 23% upside potential.
Global aerospace leadership
As a leading global aerospace company and top U.S. exporter, Boeing has a strong presence in commercial airplanes, defense, and space systems across 150+ countries.
Middle Eastern expansion
Boeing's delivery of 787 Dreamliners to Riyadh Air supports Saudi Arabia's aviation growth plans, strengthening Boeing's widebody presence in a key emerging market.
Defense and space diversification
Boeing's diversified portfolio includes defense products and space systems, providing stability beyond commercial aviation.
Attractive valuation metrics
With a forward P/E of 111.11 and trading at $218.90, Boeing is considered to have strong moat and long-term growth potential.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
BA Stock Price Performance
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Current Price
$222.72
52W Range Position
59%
52-Week Range
Current price plotted between the 52-week low and high.
52-Week Low
$176.77
+26.0% from the low
52-Week High
$254.35
-12.4% from the high
1 Month
+0.96%
3 Month
+8.12%
YTD
-2.2%
1 Year
+12.7%
3Y CAGR
+1.6%
5Y CAGR
-1.3%
10Y CAGR
+5.3%
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
BA vs Peers
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
Peer Set
Accurate peer set
Forward PE
—
vs 21.0x median
Peer median unavailable
Revenue Growth
+7.8%
vs +5.4% median
+46% above peer median
Net Margin
2.5%
vs 8.0% median
-69% below peer median
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BA BA The Boeing Company | $175.6B | — | +7.8% | 2.5% | Buy | +26.4% |
RTX RTX RTX Corporation | $249.9B | 26.7x | +6.0% | 8.0% | Buy | +20.9% |
LMT LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | $117.8B | 17.1x | +4.8% | 6.4% | Buy | +24.3% |
NOC NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation | $74.1B | 18.7x | +4.0% | 10.8% | Buy | +40.7% |
GD GD General Dynamics Corporation | $94.7B | 21.0x | +5.4% | 8.1% | Buy | +17.5% |
AIR AIR AAR Corp. | $5.3B | 27.5x | +9.2% | 5.5% | Buy | -11.0% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
BA Dividend and Capital Return
BA returns 0.2% total yield, led by a 0.19% dividend.
Dividend UnknownFCF Unknown
Total Shareholder Yield
0.2%
Dividend + buyback return per year
Buyback Yield
0.0%
Dividend Yield
0.19%
Payout Ratio
—
How BA Splits Its Return
Div 0.19%
Dividend 0.19%Buybacks 0.0%
Dividend Profile
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
Dividend / Share
Trailing annualized cash dividend
$0.43
Growth Streak
Consecutive years of dividend increases
0Y
3Y Div CAGR
13.1%
5Y Div CAGR
17.7%
Ex-Dividend Date
—
Payment Cadence
Annual
0 payments over the last 12 months
Buyback Engine
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
Repurchases (TTM)
Cash used for buybacks in the latest trailing period
$0
Estimated Shares Retired
0
Approx. Share Reduction
0.0%
Shares Outstanding
Current diluted share count from the screening snapshot
788M
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.06 | -75.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% |
| 2019 | $8.22 | +20.2% | 1.4% | 3.9% |
| 2018 | $6.84 | +20.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% |
| 2017 | $5.68 | +30.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% |
| 2016 | $4.36 | +19.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% |
FAQ
7 questionsBA Investor Questions
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
01Is The Boeing Company (BA) stock a buy or sell in 2026?
The Boeing Company (BA) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 54 analysts covering the stock, 36 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 13 rate it Hold, and 5 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $282, implying +26.4% from the current price of $223. The bear case scenario is $19 and the bull case is $39.
02What is the BA stock price target for 2026?
The Wall Street consensus price target for BA is $282 based on 54 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $298 (+33.8% from today), and the low-end target is $250 (+12.2%). The base case model target is $30.
03Is The Boeing Company (BA) stock overvalued in 2026?
Forward earnings data for BA is not currently available. Review the valuation table above for trailing P/E, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales comparisons against market and sector benchmarks.
04What are the main risks for The Boeing Company (BA) stock in 2026?
The primary risks for BA in 2026 are: (1) Safety and Manufacturing Crises — Boeing has faced high-profile safety crises and manufacturing lapses, including the global grounding of the 737 MAX, which have severely impacted its reputation and operations. (2) Leadership and Strategy Uncertainty — The company has experienced leadership churn and strategic shifts, including a retreat from outsourcing, creating uncertainty about its long-term direction. (3) Operational and Financial Turnaround — Despite a $682 billion backlog and recent positive free cash flow, Boeing's ability to sustain a full operational and financial turnaround remains unproven. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
05What is The Boeing Company's revenue and earnings forecast?
Analyst consensus estimates BA will report consensus revenue of $99.4B (+7.8% year-over-year) and EPS of $-0.08 (-102.9% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $109.8B in revenue.
06When does The Boeing Company (BA) report its next earnings?
The Boeing Company is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-07-28. Consensus expects EPS of $-0.23 and revenue of $23.9B. Over recent quarters, BA has beaten EPS estimates 58% of the time.
07How much free cash flow does The Boeing Company generate?
The Boeing Company (BA) had a free cash outflow of $1.0B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 1.1%. BA returns capital to shareholders through dividends (0.2% yield) and share repurchases ($0 TTM).