CHEF trades 1.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $111.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes CHEF achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 42.8x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 17 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $111.00, based on estimates from 17 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $108.89, this represents a potential upside of +1.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.44B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $97.00 to a high of $125.00, representing a 25% spread in expectations. The median target of $111.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 12 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, CHEF trades at a trailing P/E of 64.8x and forward P/E of 42.8x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +27.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $76.75, with bear and bull scenarios of $48.35 and $101.12 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 USFDUS Foods Holding Corp. | $20.7B | $93.93 | $117.00 | +24.6% | Buy | 19.6x | 26 |
 SYYSysco Corporation | $36.9B | $77.14 | $85.75 | +11.2% | Buy | 16.8x | 30 |
 PFGCPerformance Food Group Co | $14.3B | $90.79 | $127.33 | +40.2% | Buy | 19.7x | 26 |
 DOLEDole plc | $1.2B | $12.92 | $14.00 | +8.4% | Buy | 9.6x | 8 |
 UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc. | $2.6B | $43.74 | $50.75 | +16.0% | Hold | 13.0x | 43 |
 NABLN-able, Inc. | $782M | $4.15 | $4.47 | +7.7% | Hold | 10.7x | 6 |
 COKECoca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | $14.7B | $187.49 | — | — | Hold | — | 1 |
 ANDEThe Andersons, Inc. | $2.3B | $67.39 | $96.67 | +43.4% | Buy | 12.3x | 21 |
 CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | $42.0B | $32.72 | $42.41 | +29.6% | Buy | 28.5x | 67 |
 DENNDenny's Corporation | $322M | $6.25 | $7.00 | +12.0% | Buy | 15.0x | 21 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying CHEF stock.
The consensus price target for CHEF is $111, close to the current price of $108.89 (1.9% implied move). Based on 17 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
CHEF has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 17 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 12 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $111 implies 1.9% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 42.8414x, CHEF trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $111 (1.9% upside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $125 for CHEF, while the most conservative target is $97. The consensus of $111 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $101 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
CHEF is well covered by analysts, with 17 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 12 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month CHEF stock forecast based on 17 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $111, with estimates ranging from $97 (bear case) to $125 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $77, with bear/bull scenarios of $48/$101.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates CHEF's fair value at $77 (base case), with a bear case of $48 and bull case of $101. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.
CHEF trades at a forward P/E ratio of 42.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 64.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
CHEF appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $111 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
CHEF analyst price targets range from $97 to $125, a 25% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $111 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $48-$101 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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