DORM trades 35.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $165.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes DORM achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 14.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 16 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Dorman Products, Inc. (DORM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $165.00, based on estimates from 16 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $121.41, this represents a potential upside of +35.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $3.63B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $140.00 to a high of $180.00, representing a 24% spread in expectations. The median target of $175.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 11 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, DORM trades at a trailing P/E of 18.3x and forward P/E of 14.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.93 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +18.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $154.06, with bear and bull scenarios of $97.06 and $202.99 respectively. Model confidence stands at 52/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LKQLKQ Corporation | $6.0B | $23.43 | $31.30 | +33.6% | Buy | 8.7x | 22 |
 MPAAMotorcar Parts of America, Inc. | $200M | $10.56 | $16.00 | +51.5% | Buy | 14.1x | 7 |
 STRTStrattec Security Corporation | $280M | $66.98 | — | — | Hold | 10.8x | 1 |
 ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc. | $9.5B | $114.59 | $126.00 | +10.0% | Hold | 14.1x | 29 |
 BWABorgWarner Inc. | $12.4B | $60.55 | $84.33 | +39.3% | Buy | 11.6x | 38 |
 DANDana Incorporated | $3.7B | $29.70 | $36.40 | +22.6% | Buy | 15.6x | 24 |
 THRMGentherm Incorporated | $1.1B | $35.25 | $47.67 | +35.2% | Buy | 12.1x | 15 |
 FOXFFox Factory Holding Corp. | $783M | $18.66 | $21.33 | +14.3% | Buy | 18.5x | 18 |
 AAPAdvance Auto Parts, Inc. | $2.5B | $41.10 | $51.69 | +25.8% | Hold | 13.7x | 44 |
 AZOAutoZone, Inc. | $46.5B | $2843.34 | $3677.67 | +29.3% | Buy | 18.8x | 45 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying DORM stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for DORM is $165, representing 35.9% upside from the current price of $121.41. With 16 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
DORM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 16 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 11 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $165 implies 35.9% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 14.0175x, DORM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $165 implies 35.9% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $180 for DORM, while the most conservative target is $140. The consensus of $165 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $203 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
DORM is well covered by analysts, with 16 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 10 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month DORM stock forecast based on 16 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $165, with estimates ranging from $140 (bear case) to $180 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $154, with bear/bull scenarios of $97/$203.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates DORM's fair value at $154 (base case), with a bear case of $97 and bull case of $203. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.
DORM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 18.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on DORM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $165 price target (35.9% upside). 11 of 16 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DORM analyst price targets range from $140 to $180, a 24% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $165 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $97-$203 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Live VCP patterns, Cup & Handle overlays, support/resistance, and AI trade plans.
High-probability breakout stocks crossing their pivot across 5 pattern engines.
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.