Dorman Products, Inc. (DORM) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 16 analysts11.4% Below Target
DORM trades 11.4% below Wall Street's consensus target of $140.00.
Current Price$125.66
Average Target$140.00
Low$140.00
Median$140.00
High$140.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E15.2x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio1.01
(Fair)
Implied Growth+32.4%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes DORM achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 15.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 16 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
DORM Price Target Analysis
Updated June 21, 2026As of June 21, 2026, Dorman Products, Inc. (DORM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $140.00, based on estimates from 16 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $125.66, this represents a potential upside of +11.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $3.76B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $140.00 to a high of $140.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $140.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 11 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, DORM trades at a trailing P/E of 18.9x and forward P/E of 15.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.01 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +32.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $154.06, with bear and bull scenarios of $97.06 and $202.99 respectively. Model confidence stands at 52/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+15.7%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
15.4x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LKQLKQ Corporation | $6.6B | $25.80 | $34.00 | +31.8% | Buy | 8.7x | 22 |
 MPAAMotorcar Parts of America, Inc. | $291M | $15.36 | $20.00 | +30.2% | Buy | 20.5x | 7 |
 STRTStrattec Security Corporation | $334M | $79.82 | — | — | Buy | 12.9x | 1 |
 ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc. | $9.9B | $119.10 | $118.50 | -0.5% | Hold | 13.4x | 29 |
 BWABorgWarner Inc. | $14.8B | $71.84 | $77.09 | +7.3% | Buy | 13.8x | 38 |
 DANDana Incorporated | $3.9B | $29.18 | $36.80 | +26.1% | Buy | 12.1x | 24 |
 THRMGentherm Incorporated | $1.1B | $35.93 | $36.67 | +2.1% | Buy | 13.3x | 15 |
 FOXFFox Factory Holding Corp. | $783M | $18.67 | $22.00 | +17.8% | Buy | 18.5x | 18 |
 AAPAdvance Auto Parts, Inc. | $3.6B | $60.10 | $59.64 | -0.8% | Hold | 20.5x | 44 |
 AZOAutoZone, Inc. | $50.2B | $3064.48 | $3909.09 | +27.6% | Buy | 20.2x | 45 |
DORM — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying DORM stock.
What is the DORM stock price target for 2026?
Dorman Products, Inc. (DORM) has a consensus 12-month price target of $140, implying 11.4% upside from $125.66. The 16 analysts covering DORM see moderate appreciation potential.
Is DORM a buy, sell, or hold?
DORM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 16 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 11 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $140 implies 11.4% upside from current levels.
Is DORM stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 15.1831x, DORM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $140 implies 11.4% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can DORM stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $140 for DORM, while the most conservative target is $140. The consensus of $140 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $203 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover DORM stock?
DORM is well covered by analysts, with 16 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 10 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the DORM stock forecast?
The 12-month DORM stock forecast based on 16 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $140, with estimates ranging from $140 (bear case) to $140 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $154, with bear/bull scenarios of $97/$203.
What is DORM's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates DORM's fair value at $154 (base case), with a bear case of $97 and bull case of $203. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.
What is DORM's forward P/E ratio?
DORM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 18.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy DORM stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on DORM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $140 price target (11.4% upside). 11 of 16 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do DORM price targets vary so much?
DORM analyst price targets range from $140 to $140, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $140 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $97-$203 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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