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ECEcopetrol S.A.
$16.58$34.1B
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EC logo

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 11 analysts

21.6% Above Target

EC trades 21.6% above Wall Street's consensus target of $13.00.

Current Price$16.58
Average Target$13.00
Target
Current
Low$12.00
Median$13.00
High$14.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E0.0x
(Value)
PEG Ratio0.00
(Undervalued)
Implied Growth+94.2%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread15.4%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$16.58
Consensus$13.00
High$14.00
Low$12.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes EC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 0.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 11 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 11 published analyst recommendations for EC

55% hold / mixed conviction
+5
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 11 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage11 Analysts
Net Score+5
Bull / Bear27% / 18%
Strong Buy00%
Buy327%
Hold655%
Sell218%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
327%
Hold
655%
Sell
218%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix27% Buy · 55% Hold · 18% Sell
Buy (3)Hold (6)Sell (2)

EC Price Target Analysis

Updated June 21, 2026

As of June 21, 2026, Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $13.00, based on estimates from 11 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $16.58, this represents a potential downside of -21.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $34.09B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $12.00 to a high of $14.00, representing a 15% spread in expectations. The median target of $13.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.

From a valuation perspective, EC trades at a trailing P/E of 14.1x and forward P/E of 0.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.00 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +94.2% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $87452.96, with bear and bull scenarios of $55095.36 and $115228.01 respectively. Model confidence stands at 37/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Energy stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+13.8%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
8.1x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
PBR logo
PBRPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
$107.9B$16.75$20.00
+19.4%
Buy4.0x22
YPF logo
YPFYPF Sociedad Anónima
$19.8B$50.45$47.50
-5.8%
Buy0.0x15
CVX logo
CVXChevron Corporation
$346.5B$173.63$200.13
+15.3%
Buy12.1x53
XOM logo
XOMExxon Mobil Corporation
$584.0B$137.81$170.08
+23.4%
Hold12.5x55
BP logo
BPBP p.l.c.
$102.1B$39.10$42.87
+9.6%
Hold7.4x44
E logo
EEni S.p.A.
$72.0B$48.95$64.30
+31.4%
Hold9.2x26
TTE logo
TTETotalEnergies SE
$179.1B$80.43$75.67
-5.9%
Buy7.3x34
COP logo
COPConocoPhillips
$131.3B$107.74$132.92
+23.4%
Buy10.6x52
OXY logo
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation
$51.5B$51.82$62.31
+20.2%
Buy9.3x52
MPC logo
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
$70.9B$242.91$259.38
+6.8%
Buy8.2x33

EC — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying EC stock.

What is the EC stock price target for 2026?

EC's consensus price target is $13, -21.6% below the current price of $16.58. The 11 analysts tracking EC see downside risk at present valuations.

Is EC a buy, sell, or hold?

EC has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 11 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 6 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $13 implies -21.6% downside from current levels.

Is EC stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 0.002x, EC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $13 implies -21.6% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can EC stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $14 for EC, while the most conservative target is $12. The consensus of $13 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $115228 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover EC stock?

EC is moderately covered, with 11 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the EC stock forecast?

The 12-month EC stock forecast based on 11 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $13, with estimates ranging from $12 (bear case) to $14 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $87453, with bear/bull scenarios of $55095/$115228.

What is EC's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates EC's fair value at $87453 (base case), with a bear case of $55095 and bull case of $115228. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 37/100.

What is EC's forward P/E ratio?

EC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 0.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 14.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy EC stock?

Analysts are cautious on EC, with 2 Sell ratings and a price target of $13 (-21.6% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do EC price targets vary so much?

EC analyst price targets range from $12 to $14, a 15% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $13 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $55095-$115228 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

Deep dive into EC consensus models and risk factors.

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Intrinsic Valuation

DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

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Historical Returns

10-year return with dividends reinvested.

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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