GBX trades 20.7% below Wall Street's consensus target of $60.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes GBX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 15.8x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 24 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 21, 2026, The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $60.00, based on estimates from 24 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $49.69, this represents a potential upside of +20.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.54B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $60.00 to a high of $60.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $60.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 10 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,9 rating it Hold, and 5 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, GBX trades at a trailing P/E of 7.8x and forward P/E of 15.8x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.46 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -45.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $27.01, with bear and bull scenarios of $17.01 and $35.58 respectively. Model confidence stands at 41/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TRNTrinity Industries, Inc. | $2.8B | $34.47 | $35.00 | +1.5% | Hold | 14.8x | 25 |
RAILFreightCar America, Inc. | $296M | $9.32 | — | — | Hold | 20.4x | 13 |
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | $46.5B | $273.83 | $305.00 | +11.4% | Buy | 25.8x | 34 |
TTTrane Technologies plc | $107.0B | $483.40 | $525.00 | +8.6% | Hold | 32.4x | 26 |
GATXGATX Corporation | $6.3B | $177.17 | $220.00 | +24.2% | Buy | 17.6x | 14 |
ALGAlamo Group Inc. | $2.0B | $161.35 | $189.00 | +17.1% | Buy | 15.4x | 10 |
GNSSGenasys Inc. | $74M | $1.63 | — | — | — | — | — |
CSXCSX Corporation | $84.8B | $45.63 | $46.15 | +1.1% | Buy | 23.8x | 46 |
UNPUnion Pacific Corporation | $152.5B | $256.88 | $293.30 | +14.2% | Buy | 20.4x | 47 |
NSCNorfolk Southern Corporation | $67.4B | $300.08 | $335.57 | +11.8% | Hold | 24.7x | 48 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GBX stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for GBX is $60, representing 20.7% upside from the current price of $49.69. With 24 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
GBX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 24 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 9 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $60 implies 20.7% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 15.7746x, GBX trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $60 implies 20.7% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $60 for GBX, while the most conservative target is $60. The consensus of $60 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $36 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GBX is well covered by analysts, with 24 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 10 have Buy ratings, 9 recommend Hold, and 5 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GBX stock forecast based on 24 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $60, with estimates ranging from $60 (bear case) to $60 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $27, with bear/bull scenarios of $17/$36.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GBX's fair value at $27 (base case), with a bear case of $17 and bull case of $36. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 41/100.
GBX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 7.8x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on GBX, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $60 price target (20.7% upside). 10 of 24 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GBX analyst price targets range from $60 to $60, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $60 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $17-$36 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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