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$4.17$8.4B
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GGB logo

Gerdau S.A. (GGB) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 10 analysts

25.9% Below Target

GGB trades 25.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $5.25.

Current Price$4.17
Average Target$5.25
Low$5.25
Median$5.25
High$5.25

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E1.5x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+288.4%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$4.17
Consensus$5.25
High$5.25
Low$5.25

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes GGB achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 1.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 10 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 10 published analyst recommendations for GGB

10% hold / mixed conviction
+25
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 10 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage10 Analysts
Net Score+25
Bull / Bear70% / 20%
Strong Buy00%
Buy770%
Hold110%
Sell220%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
770%
Hold
110%
Sell
220%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix70% Buy · 10% Hold · 20% Sell
Buy (7)Hold (1)Sell (2)

GGB Price Target Analysis

Updated June 22, 2026

As of June 22, 2026, Gerdau S.A. (GGB) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $5.25, based on estimates from 10 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $4.17, this represents a potential upside of +25.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $8.36B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $5.25 to a high of $5.25, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $5.25 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 7 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.

From a valuation perspective, GGB trades at a trailing P/E of 31.2x and forward P/E of 1.5x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +288.4% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $41.10, with bear and bull scenarios of $25.89 and $54.15 respectively. Model confidence stands at 37/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Basic Materials stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
-0.2%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
23.9x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
NUE logo
NUENucor Corporation
$55.5B$243.83$239.57
-1.7%
Buy16.0x32
STLD logo
STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.
$36.2B$249.91$235.25
-5.9%
Buy15.4x27
CLF logo
CLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc.
$7.0B$12.28$12.17
-0.9%
Hold—43
RS logo
RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co.
$20.3B$396.34$373.50
-5.8%
Hold20.0x27
CMC logo
CMCCommercial Metals Company
$8.0B$72.36$82.17
+13.6%
Buy11.3x26
WS logo
WSWorthington Steel, Inc.
$2.0B$40.73$46.00
+12.9%
Buy18.9x1
ZEUS logo
ZEUSOlympic Steel, Inc.
$533M$47.86$41.00
-14.3%
Buy20.7x6
SXC logo
SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc.
$733M$8.64$9.00
+4.2%
Buy40.2x17
CAT logo
CATCaterpillar Inc.
$458.7B$985.82$882.20
-10.5%
Buy40.0x53
VMC logo
VMCVulcan Materials Company
$39.3B$302.84$322.60
+6.5%
Buy32.8x36

GGB — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GGB stock.

What is the GGB stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for GGB is $5.25, representing 25.9% upside from the current price of $4.17. With 10 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is GGB a buy, sell, or hold?

GGB has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 10 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 7 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $5.25 implies 25.9% upside from current levels.

Is GGB stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 1.529x, GGB trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $5.25 implies 25.9% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can GGB stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $5.25 for GGB, while the most conservative target is $5.25. The consensus of $5.25 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $54 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover GGB stock?

GGB is moderately covered, with 10 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the GGB stock forecast?

The 12-month GGB stock forecast based on 10 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $5.25, with estimates ranging from $5.25 (bear case) to $5.25 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $41, with bear/bull scenarios of $26/$54.

What is GGB's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates GGB's fair value at $41 (base case), with a bear case of $26 and bull case of $54. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 37/100.

What is GGB's forward P/E ratio?

GGB trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 31.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy GGB stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on GGB, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $5.25 price target (25.9% upside). 7 of 10 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do GGB price targets vary so much?

GGB analyst price targets range from $5.25 to $5.25, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $5.25 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $26-$54 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Intrinsic Valuation

DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

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Historical Returns

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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