Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 2, 2026, Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $663.60, based on estimates from 51 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $514.94, this represents a potential upside of +28.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $105.99B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $420.00 to a high of $845.00, representing a 64% spread in expectations. The median target of $700.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 31 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,18 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, SPOT trades at a trailing P/E of 43.3x and forward P/E of 39.7x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +25.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $627.77, with bear and bull scenarios of $-244.58 and $526.71 respectively. Model confidence stands at 69/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Price is only half the story. See total return with reinvested dividends.
Launch CalculatorSee our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.
View ValuationSee how SPOT stacks up against sector leader Netflix, Inc..
Start ComparisonThe consensus Wall Street price target for SPOT is $663.6, representing 28.9% upside from the current price of $514.94. With 51 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
SPOT has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 51 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 31 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $663.6 implies 28.9% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 39.7257x, SPOT trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $663.6 (28.9% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $845 for SPOT, while the most conservative target is $420. The consensus of $663.6 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $527 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
SPOT is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 51 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 31 have Buy ratings, 18 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month SPOT stock forecast based on 51 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $663.6, with estimates ranging from $420 (bear case) to $845 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $628, with bear/bull scenarios of $-245/$527.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SPOT's fair value at $628 (base case), with a bear case of $-245 and bull case of $527. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 69/100.
SPOT trades at a forward P/E ratio of 39.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 43.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on SPOT, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $663.6 price target (28.9% upside). 31 of 51 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SPOT analyst price targets range from $420 to $845, a 64% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $663.6 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $-245-$527 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.