HNRG trades 107.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $28.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes HNRG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $28.00, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $13.49, this represents a potential upside of +107.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $636M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $28.00 to a high of $28.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $28.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, HNRG trades at a trailing P/E of 14.1x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -1212.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $7.87, with bear and bull scenarios of $4.96 and $10.36 respectively. Model confidence stands at 40/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc. | $4.7B | $89.35 | $100.00 | +11.9% | Hold | 14.0x | 24 |
 ARLPAlliance Resource Partners, L.P. | $3.2B | $24.53 | $30.00 | +22.3% | Hold | 10.2x | 18 |
 BTUPeabody Energy Corporation | $3.0B | $24.81 | $30.50 | +22.9% | Hold | — | 33 |
 SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc. | $840M | $9.90 | $9.00 | -9.1% | Buy | 28.7x | 17 |
 METCRamaco Resources, Inc. | $436M | $8.11 | $11.67 | +44.0% | Buy | — | 9 |
 NEENextEra Energy, Inc. | $160.3B | $76.83 | $97.50 | +26.9% | Buy | 19.1x | 36 |
 AEPAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc. | $65.1B | $119.57 | $140.22 | +17.3% | Buy | 18.7x | 36 |
 SOThe Southern Company | $94.4B | $83.72 | $97.00 | +15.9% | Hold | 18.2x | 34 |
 DUKDuke Energy Corporation | $89.0B | $114.13 | $135.33 | +18.6% | Hold | 17.0x | 32 |
 CATCaterpillar Inc. | $389.4B | $845.42 | $985.58 | +16.6% | Buy | 31.0x | 56 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying HNRG stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for HNRG is $28, representing 107.6% upside from the current price of $13.49. With 6 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
HNRG has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $28 implies 107.6% upside from current levels.
HNRG's current price is $13.49 with a consensus target of $28 (107.6% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is undervalued at current levels.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $28 for HNRG, while the most conservative target is $28. The consensus of $28 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $10 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
HNRG is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month HNRG stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $28, with estimates ranging from $28 (bear case) to $28 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $8, with bear/bull scenarios of $5/$10.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates HNRG's fair value at $8 (base case), with a bear case of $5 and bull case of $10. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 40/100.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on HNRG, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $28 price target (107.6% upside). 5 of 6 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HNRG analyst price targets range from $28 to $28, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $28 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $5-$10 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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