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HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026

Current Price
$5.21
Market reference
Price Target
$12.00
+130.3% Upside
Target Range
$12.00 — $12.00
High conviction
Analyst Rating
Buy
4 analysts
Forward P/E—
Trailing P/E7.8x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth-130.5%
Median Target$12.00
Analyst Spread0.0%

Analysts see +130.3% upside to their consensus target of $12.00. The bullish rating consensus aligns with positive price target gap.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$5.21
Consensus$12.00
High$12.00
Low$12.00
Model$42.30
Bear Case
$12
+130.3%
Consensus
$12
+130.3%
Bull Case
$12
+130.3%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 15/100
Bear$-119
Base$42
Bull$59

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 4 published analyst recommendations for HPK

3/4 analysts are bullish
+38
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 4 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage4 Analysts
Net Score+38
Bull / Bear75% / 0%
Strong Buy00%
Buy375%
Hold125%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
375%
Hold
125%
Sell
00%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix75% Buy · 25% Hold · 0% Sell
Buy (3)Hold (1)Sell (0)

HPK Price Target Analysis

Updated March 2, 2026

As of March 2, 2026, HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $12.00, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $5.21, this represents a potential upside of +130.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $654M.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $12.00 to a high of $12.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $12.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.

From a valuation perspective, HPK trades at a trailing P/E of 7.8x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -130.5% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $42.30, with bear and bull scenarios of $-119.37 and $59.09 respectively. Model confidence stands at 15/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Energy stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+16.0%
Avg Forward P/E12.4x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
EOGEOG Resources, Inc.$67.3B$124.08$133.21+7.4%Buy13.0x65
FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.$49.5B$174.08$184.08+5.7%Buy17.6x51
DVNDevon Energy Corporation$27.0B$43.53$47.78+9.8%Buy13.5x63
OVVOvintiv Inc.$12.8B$50.59$52.14+3.1%Buy12.0x26
MTDRMatador Resources Company$6.5B$51.40$56.67+10.3%Buy11.6x41
CHRDChord Energy Corporation$6.2B$108.37$123.56+14.0%Buy22.6x17
SMSM Energy Company$2.7B$23.13$28.86+24.8%Buy6.3x53
CIVICivitas Resources, Inc.$2.3B$27.38$36.33+32.7%Hold6.8x16
PRPermian Resources Corporation$1.5B$18.29$19.13+4.6%Buy16.3x18
VTLEVital Energy, Inc.$693M$17.92$26.50+47.9%Hold4.0x36

Upside Potential Comparison

VTLE
+47.9%
CIVI
+32.7%
SM
+24.8%
CHRD
+14.0%
MTDR
+10.3%
DVN
+9.8%
EOG
+7.4%
FANG
+5.7%

See HPK's True Return

Price is only half the story. See total return with reinvested dividends.

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Is HPK Undervalued?

See our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.

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Compare HPK vs CRC

See how HPK stacks up against sector leader California Resources Corporation.

Start Comparison

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the HPK stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for HPK is $12, representing 130.3% upside from the current price of $5.21. With 4 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is HPK a buy, sell, or hold?

HPK has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 3 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $12 implies 130.3% upside from current levels.

Is HPK stock overvalued or undervalued?

HPK's current price is $5.21 with a consensus target of $12 (130.3% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is undervalued at current levels.

How high can HPK stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $12 for HPK, while the most conservative target is $12. The consensus of $12 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $59 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover HPK stock?

HPK is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the HPK stock forecast?

The 12-month HPK stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $12, with estimates ranging from $12 (bear case) to $12 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $42, with bear/bull scenarios of $-119/$59.

What is HPK's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates HPK's fair value at $42 (base case), with a bear case of $-119 and bull case of $59. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 15/100.

Should I buy HPK stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on HPK, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $12 price target (130.3% upside). 3 of 4 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do HPK price targets vary so much?

HPK analyst price targets range from $12 to $12, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $12 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $-119-$59 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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