Bull case
The bull case requires both strong earnings delivery and the market pricing LFUS more generously than it does today.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where LFUS stock could go
The bull case requires both strong earnings delivery and the market pricing LFUS more generously than it does today.
The base case reflects analyst consensus expectations — steady delivery without requiring a major catalyst or re-rating.
The bear case reflects a scenario where earnings shortfalls or multiple compression combine to materially reduce the stock from its current level.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Littelfuse is a global manufacturer of circuit protection, power control, and sensing components for electronics and transportation systems. It generates revenue primarily through two segments—Electronics (~60% of sales) and Transportation (~40%)—selling fuses, sensors, relays, and power semiconductors to industrial, automotive, and consumer electronics markets. The company's competitive moat lies in its deep technical expertise in circuit protection, broad product portfolio that serves as a one-stop shop for customers, and established relationships with major industrial and automotive OEMs worldwide.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | $2.19/$1.82 | +20.3% | $554M/$539M | +2.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.85/$2.35 | +21.3% | $613M/$606M | +1.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.95/$2.75 | +7.3% | $625M/$587M | +6.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.69/$2.51 | +7.2% | $594M/$584M | +1.7% |
LFUS beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
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Latest annual revenue by reported region
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Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $450 — implies +10.7% from today's price.
| Metric | LFUS | S&P 500 | Technology | 5Y Avg LFUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 32.4x | 19.1x+70% | 22.1x+46% | — |
| Trailing PE | -145.8x | 25.1x-681% | 26.7x-645% | 31.9x-557% |
| PEG Ratio | — | 1.72x | 1.52x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 79.0x | 15.2x+419% | 17.5x+352% | 22.4x+253% |
| Price/FCF | 28.8x | 21.1x+36% | 19.5x+47% | 20.3x+42% |
| Price/Sales | 4.4x | 3.1x+41% | 2.4x+81% | 2.8x+55% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.68% | 1.87% | 1.16% | 0.96% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolLFUS generates $366M in free cash flow at a 15.3% margin.
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
~1.0 years to full repayment at current FCF run-rate
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
Littelfuse is highly sensitive to general economic conditions, with potential revenue impacts from weakness in end markets like consumer electronics and appliances. Recession fears and higher interest rates could significantly hinder revenue growth and share price performance.
A significant portion of Littelfuse's revenue is dependent on a few key customers, with Arrow Electronics accounting for over 10% of revenue in 2022. Any adverse changes in sales from these key customers could severely impact overall financial results.
Capacity and supply difficulties pose a significant risk to Littelfuse's operations. Industry-wide shortages could disrupt fulfillment, leading to inventory imbalances and negatively affecting revenue.
Fluctuations in product demand and market acceptance can directly affect Littelfuse's performance. There is a risk of slowdown in bookings due to potential order cancellations and project delays.
The industry is subject to intense competitive pressures, including competitive products and pricing strategies. This competition can impact Littelfuse's market share and profitability.
The integration of acquisitions may not be achieved in a timely manner, limiting the realization of expected benefits and synergies. Additionally, there is a risk of losing key personnel from acquisitions.
Cybersecurity matters pose a risk to Littelfuse's operations and data integrity. Any significant breaches could lead to financial losses and reputational damage.
Goodwill, an intangible asset, may be subject to impairment if earnings or cash flow targets are missed. This could reduce the company's total assets and book value per share.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
Littelfuse has demonstrated impressive growth in its electronics segment, with sales increasing significantly year-over-year, driven by strong demand for passive products and protection semiconductors. The industrial segment is also showing signs of recovery and growth, particularly in data center, grid infrastructure, and renewable energy applications, with recent quarterly reports showing double-digit revenue growth.
The company has a history of successful, disciplined mergers and acquisitions that contribute significantly to its growth. The acquisition of Basler Electric is expected to enhance its high-power capabilities and contribute to revenue and earnings in 2026.
Littelfuse is strategically positioning itself to benefit from secular tailwinds in areas like renewable energy infrastructure, grid storage, and sustainable grid ecosystems. The data center segment has seen a significant increase in design wins and is expected to be a leading growth contributor.
Littelfuse has achieved significant margin expansion, with its EBITDA margin improving considerably due to strong operational leverage and a strategic shift towards higher-value opportunities. This positions the company for enhanced profitability moving forward.
The company has reported a strong bookings increase, with a book-to-bill ratio remaining above 1, indicating a solid foundation for future profitability and sustained demand. This reflects the company's ability to secure new orders and maintain a healthy pipeline.
Littelfuse maintains a healthy balance sheet, providing flexibility for investments and acquisitions. The company also returns value to shareholders through dividends, reinforcing its commitment to shareholder returns.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LFU LFUS Littelfuse, Inc. | $10.5B | 32.4x | +7.1% | -3.0% | Buy | -5.4% |
CTS CTS CTS Corporation | $1.7B | 23.9x | +2.8% | 12.4% | Hold | — |
VIC VICR Vicor Corporation | $12.0B | 96.0x | +10.9% | 26.2% | Buy | -7.9% |
AVX AVX Avax One Technology Ltd | $212005 | — | +2241.9% | -1440.1% | — | — |
ON ON ON Semiconductor Corporation | $40.4B | 35.1x | -1.1% | 9.5% | Buy | -39.2% |
STM STM STMicroelectronics N.V. | $50.8B | 48.2x | -3.6% | 1.2% | Buy | +0.6% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
LFUS returns 0.9% total yield, led by a 0.68% dividend, raised 16 consecutive years.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.75 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $2.90 | +7.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% |
| 2024 | $2.70 | +8.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% |
| 2023 | $2.50 | +10.6% | 0.0% | 0.9% |
| 2022 | $2.26 | +11.9% | 0.0% | 1.0% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Littelfuse, Inc. (LFUS) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 11 analysts covering the stock, 6 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 4 rate it Hold, and 1 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $400, implying -5.4% from the current price of $423.
The Wall Street consensus price target for LFUS is $400 based on 11 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $450 (+6.4% from today), and the low-end target is $360 (-14.9%).
LFUS trades at 32.4x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals slightly undervalued. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for LFUS in 2026 are: (1) Macroeconomic Sensitivity — Littelfuse is highly sensitive to general economic conditions, with potential revenue impacts from weakness in end markets like consumer electronics and appliances. (2) Customer Concentration — A significant portion of Littelfuse's revenue is dependent on a few key customers, with Arrow Electronics accounting for over 10% of revenue in 2022. (3) Supply Chain and Capacity — Capacity and supply difficulties pose a significant risk to Littelfuse's operations. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates LFUS will report consensus revenue of $2.6B (+7.1% year-over-year) and EPS of $0.51 (+117.7% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $2.7B in revenue.
Littelfuse, Inc. is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-05-06. Consensus expects EPS of $2.83 and revenue of $638M. Over recent quarters, LFUS has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time.
Littelfuse, Inc. (LFUS) generated $366M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 15.3%. LFUS returns capital to shareholders through dividends (0.7% yield) and share repurchases ($28M TTM).