0.8% Above Target

Wall Street's consensus price target for MAR is $393.07, -0.8% from its current price of $396.2. The below-market target from 52 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

MAR has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 52 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 28 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $393.07 implies -0.8% downside from current levels.

MAR trades at a forward P/E of 34.1826x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $393.07 (-0.8% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $446 for MAR, while the most conservative target is $350. The consensus of $393.07 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $706 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

MAR is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 52 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 23 have Buy ratings, 28 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month MAR stock forecast based on 52 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $393.07, with estimates ranging from $350 (bear case) to $446 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $536, with bear/bull scenarios of $338/$706.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates MAR's fair value at $536 (base case), with a bear case of $338 and bull case of $706. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 54/100.

MAR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 34.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 41.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on MAR, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $393.07 (-0.8% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

MAR analyst price targets range from $350 to $446, a 24% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $393.07 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $338-$706 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.