HLT trades 0.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $371.40.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes HLT achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 40.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 49 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $371.40, based on estimates from 49 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $370.45, this represents a potential upside of +0.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $83.38B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $316.00 to a high of $421.00, representing a 28% spread in expectations. The median target of $374.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 29 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,20 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, HLT trades at a trailing P/E of 60.5x and forward P/E of 40.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +21.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $420.72, with bear and bull scenarios of $265.06 and $554.35 respectively. Model confidence stands at 55/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MARMarriott International, Inc. | $108.6B | $416.47 | $400.00 | -4.0% | Hold | 34.8x | 52 |
 HHyatt Hotels Corporation | $17.5B | $184.32 | $202.67 | +10.0% | Hold | 48.5x | 50 |
 IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC | $26.4B | $178.75 | $174.67 | -2.3% | Hold | 30.8x | 23 |
 WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | $5.7B | $77.35 | $95.75 | +23.8% | Buy | 15.9x | 22 |
 CHHChoice Hotels International, Inc. | $5.4B | $118.91 | $114.56 | -3.7% | Hold | 16.9x | 29 |
 RHPRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | $8.3B | $132.05 | $135.44 | +2.6% | Buy | 31.8x | 19 |
 PKPark Hotels & Resorts Inc. | $3.2B | $15.74 | $16.22 | +3.0% | Hold | 34.4x | 26 |
 HSTHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | $16.9B | $24.62 | $25.57 | +3.9% | Buy | 17.8x | 43 |
 SHOSunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. | $2.3B | $12.52 | $13.00 | +3.8% | Hold | 46.3x | 28 |
 HGVHilton Grand Vacations Inc. | $3.5B | $43.95 | $50.71 | +15.4% | Hold | 7.3x | 17 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying HLT stock.
The consensus price target for HLT is $371.4, close to the current price of $370.45 (0.3% implied move). Based on 49 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
HLT has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 49 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 29 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $371.4 implies 0.3% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 40.5724x, HLT trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $371.4 (0.3% upside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $421 for HLT, while the most conservative target is $316. The consensus of $371.4 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $554 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
HLT is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 49 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 29 have Buy ratings, 20 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month HLT stock forecast based on 49 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $371.4, with estimates ranging from $316 (bear case) to $421 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $421, with bear/bull scenarios of $265/$554.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates HLT's fair value at $421 (base case), with a bear case of $265 and bull case of $554. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 55/100.
HLT trades at a forward P/E ratio of 40.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 60.5x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
HLT appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $371.4 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HLT analyst price targets range from $316 to $421, a 28% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $371.4 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $265-$554 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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